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River decision, to bet or not to bet?

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BelligerentBird
Joined: 08.08.2016

PokerStars - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 249 BB (VPIP: 28.10, PFR: 18.07, 3Bet Preflop: 5.13, Hands: 1,768)
BB: 96 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 21.43, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 14)
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 26.60, PFR: 12.97, 3Bet Preflop: 7.66, Hands: 573)
Hero (UTG+1): 100 BB
MP: 146.5 BB (VPIP: 19.06, PFR: 13.47, 3Bet Preflop: 3.82, Hands: 797)
MP+1: 190 BB (VPIP: 13.53, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 3.09, Hands: 460)
CO: 118 BB (VPIP: 7.69, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
BTN: 128 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♥ K♥

fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls 4 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (9.5 BB, 2 players) 8♦ Q♦ A♠
Hero bets 5.5 BB, BTN raises to 11 BB, Hero calls 5.5 BB

Turn: (31.5 BB, 2 players) Q♥
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: (31.5 BB, 2 players) 6♥
Hero bets 15 BB, BTN raises to 113 BB and is all-in, fold.

Hello guys! Opponent is unknown, we have only 14 hands on him, but he played half of them and always did open limp and called a raise. So I automatically assume that he is pretty fishy.
After his raise OTF and check behind OTT I don't think he has a lot of queens in his range. I put him mostly on flush draws, Ax and slowplaying 88.
So on the river I'm a bit lost. I'm choosing between x/c and b/f and don't like neither of them :)
What do you think?


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4 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Because villain has limp called half of his hands I would say he is very passive and plays fit or fold. When he gets aggressive on the flop I would be very scared. Flop and turn are fine but river is a bit tricky.

Check calling OTR is not so good imo. I'm scared of his flop raise and he could very well be slowplaying a monster.
Betting small and folding vs raise is a decent option. There is only one problem: vs this guy I think he is either full of sh*t or he has a strong hand. If you bet, he probably doesn't call with weaker hands. I mostly see Qx, 88 and busted draws that wont call in his range.
That leaves check folding, which I think is the best option. Passive villain shouldn't bluff us OTR.


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BelligerentBird
Joined: 08.08.2016

You're probably right! During the hand I didn't consider check-fold at all, but now I'm thinking that it really makes sense in this spot.


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Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

I agree with your play OTF. OTT I would check/call (to a reasonable bet), we hold semi monster ourselves. He might bet some weaker hands OTT imo - e.g. flush draw. River is a fold. So, to sum up. I would play flop same as you, OTT c/c, OTR c/f.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

It is okay played. I am not to fond of check-folding OTR, it would depend on the size of the bet.


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