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[Closed] [PROMOTION] Guess the Hand [Hand 3]

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julianr12
Joined: 15.06.2009

Creo que tiene JTo paga el 3bet y luego al conectar doble par en flop pasa tambien para inducir a que apueste Hero, en el river solo paga por que cae la carta donde puede haber conectado color Hero


mardam50
Joined: 15.11.2015
mardam50
Joined: 15.11.2015

Q♠:6♠:


ggeshov
Joined: 25.12.2010

The hand which makes most sense to me here is a pair like 88-99. Villain open-raises and chooses to call the 3bet to see the flop. Since hands like AJ, AT, QQ+ would cbet the flop, villain decides that hero didnt hit but checks behind for pot control and let his opponent bluff with hands like AK, AQ, KQ on the following streets. Since the cards OTT and OTR were not that scary (If hero had flush draw OTF would cbet as well) villain executes his plan and it works out.

If I have to choose one hand, I choose 99.


ronnieldavid
Joined: 12.05.2011
Walsoe
Joined: 20.09.2009

I think the regular has AQ (alla combinations except Spades)

Analysis:
If we first think about which hands the regular ascribe Hero when he re-raises preflop. Firstly, the possibility exists that Hero was indeed trying to 3 bet steal with A*, two cars over 10 or with medium pockets all because of his newly gained confident. Secondly, he could put Hero on AK/AQ and perhaps KQ because of the rather large bet amount and third, an trap like bet with KK /AA in this size happens but (often results in folds) are a little bit on the rarer side if your not playing against donkeys and fishes. (WHO need to be SUPPRESSED!!!!!!)

With the previous paragraph in mind, this is what I think transpired on the following streets. When Hero checked on the flop was the Regular experienced enough to check behind with caution, especially if he's AQ. Hero´s cards in the elaborated theory of a 3 bet steal preflop could very likely had hit top pair och better. Then there is the "trap" with KK/AA (which would just love a bet from the regular so he could check-raise back at him) and then there is the missing normal type of play when one has AK/AQ with two over cards and a hole card to make the nuts (with the exception of flush). KQ are though quite sensible to check and perhaps why Hero did it. If Hero had have QQ he would most certain have placed an Cbet on the flop fearing the Regular to improve and to not give away any free flushcards. With this information gathered can one argue that Hero´s hole cards is more likely KQ than AK/AQ.

The turn offered a token card, which probably didn't help either of them. However, Hero decides to make a large bet playing with the two possibilities introduced before. But then the question should be: how likely is it he has KK/AA? or that he has hit a set or top pair with Semi-hands. Yeah, not very likely since a "normal player" doesn't make does large re-raises with KK/AA and semi playable hand. However, now it is high time to think about which range the Regular could have had.

All top tier hands would in most cases resulted in a re-raise preflop for our regular; that means AA, KK, and AK are goners. QQ and JJ could probably also be struck of the list with regards to the large preflop bet. I would'd re-raised if I was the regular - especially if I have a tell about an over confident player. So what are we left with? If not counting with pocket cards below 10 that wouldn't make sets...... AQ!! and of course would this hero call be the most heroic compared to the others.

If I'm right it couldn't have been an easy call due to the uncertainty of Hero having AK, but he didn't represent it on the flop so perhaps it was the basis of the call.


palmito21
Joined: 08.09.2016

he had As6d, he knew that the range of the hero was good, so he decide to control the pot, when the hero dont cbet, he should have some draws. With the As he blocks alot of flush draws that hero have. that whys he calls the river bluff


palmito21
Joined: 08.09.2016

he had As6d, he knew that the range of the hero was good, so he decide to control the pot, when the hero dont cbet, he should have some draws. With the As he blocks alot of flush draws that hero have. that whys he calls the river bluff


provoman
Joined: 22.06.2010

CO can have 88 pair. He pay raise and c/flop. CO read bluff here and pay to end with his poket pair.
GL


briccius
Joined: 26.06.2007

I guess Villain has AQ, probably with one spade. He calls pre because he does not want to 4bet. Checks flop behind which makes some sense. Hero is only check-folding weaker hands on flop, but sometimes check-calling or check-raising.

Turn: He calls Hero´s turn bet because Hero does not represent much and Villain has SDV or outs if he´s behind. Hero´s riverbet does not seem credible except he has a flush but Villain is blocking many flush combos with either As or Qs so he makes a hero call vs Hero´s polarised range.

Actually I think As is more likely as it is blocking more flush combos, so I am going to go with:

A♠::Qx:

I do not understand the stacksizes given, though:

Stacks:
CO ($400) 104bb
BTN ($167) 100bb
SB HERO ($400) 228bb
BB ($400) 100bb

Sorry if this has been addressed before, I cannot read the whole thread now.


YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

A♣:J♥:


xxtropicsxx
Joined: 12.10.2016

I guess its a middle pair, 88 or 99, after checking the flop he was confident enough to go for it, because after the check on the flop he didnt give hero the flushdraw


Naixy
Joined: 23.04.2013

A2s (not with fd) he checks back flop hits the 2 on the turn and calls down turn and river because hero is very polarized to either bluff or very strong holding which is very unlikely given the line he took.


bambino0612
Joined: 14.06.2016

j 10 y no aumenta por miedo a que el otro tenga color


owaio
Joined: 12.05.2007

9♥:T♥: he call the turn because he often holds the best hand in this spot. Preflop aggressor would have cbet the flop with a flushdraw so on river you play an easy check-call line and in the most times you are ahead.


oviman
Joined: 09.09.2016

Given the fact that he is a strong reg, he may choose to hero-call 67 :club: or :diamond: because he doesn't block any of our bluffs so we still have AK/AQ/KQ in our range with which we can bluff. He has good pot odds.:f_tongue::f_tongue::f_tongue:


junky75
Joined: 13.03.2010

I think vilain has A10.
He called the re raise and hit middle pair on the board. He puts his opponent on a straight flush draw maybe. the bet on the turn doesnt seems to be anything important since it's a brick. Then when the last spade hits he has a hudge decision, whether his opponent his on a complete bluff and missed his straight or maybe or he hit the flush because he never going to bet this big with AA or KK hand because the spade is too scary.
That's why i think the vilain hero calls with A10.


costah
Joined: 22.12.2009

AsQs. He made his flush on river.


Nosnibourbos
Joined: 25.01.2005

9s9x (assuming his image of hero is regular aggressive mb a little overaggressive in this session running hot)
he r/c pf from the cu which gives him a strong range (mb like 77+, AT+(TT+, AQ+/AK ofc normally 4bet and are much less likely), KQ,QJs, some suited connectors) and cb on the flop. That means he has sd value, but his hand is not strong enough to need any protection or to bet for value, much less want to face to c/r allinn from ero. Hero's check after 3bet pf looks to him like give up or pot controll. Any J(and stronger hands) of his range he will bet/c on the flop, he might bet / call a T if he see's hero bluffy or bet fold for value/protection against Tx smaller pockets), so his play looks a lot like a medium pocket. That he calls down even though the flush gets there, confirms that he sees hero very aggressive, which makes it more likely, that he would have b/c a AT type of hand.


miguelangel2973
Joined: 15.12.2010

Villain is A♠:Q♣:
Después de la secuencia de checks flop, dentro del rango del villano quedan manos medias que no quieren apostar las tres calles o bien un monster que no quiera tirar al rival, pero se descarta el monster puesto que va a raisear el river. Quedan pockets medios tipo 77-88-99 o manos blufcatcher con el A♠:.