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QJs from HJ with 33 BB

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tantalos11
Joined: 31.10.2012

hi!
i started playing mtts and i went out really well in september. but i have some problems with stacksizes between 25-35 BB. can you please give me some thoughts on this hand?

This hand happened short after late registration ended. i was on position 700 with 1.5k left. the villain in the BB was really active and played a lot of hands against me, but never really showed a big hand.

UTG: 31.61 BB (VPIP: 6.90, PFR: 6.90, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 29)
UTG+1: 11.05 BB (VPIP: 27.27, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
MP: 24.04 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 28)
MP+1: 14.55 BB (VPIP: 18.02, PFR: 15.32, 3Bet Preflop: 2.04, Hands: 111)
Hero (MP+2): 33.29 BB
CO: 30.5 BB (VPIP: 22.58, PFR: 10.75, 3Bet Preflop: 1.92, Hands: 93)
BTN: 28.99 BB (VPIP: 21.05, PFR: 10.53, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 19)
SB: 13.43 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
BB: 95.15 BB (VPIP: 45.45, PFR: 27.27, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 44)

9 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.67 BB) Hero has Js Qs
fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.2 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 1.7 BB, BB raises to 5.4 BB, Hero calls 3.2 BB, fold

Flop : (14.17 BB, 2 players) 8s 2c 4s
BB bets 7 BB, Hero raises to 27.76 BB and is all-in, BB calls 20.76 BB

Turn : (69.7 BB, 2 players) 8c

River : (69.7 BB, 2 players) Qc

BB shows Ad Qd (Two Pair, Queens and Eights)
(Pre 70%, Flop 53%, Turn 73%)

Hero shows Js Qs (Two Pair, Queens and Eights)
(Pre 30%, Flop 47%, Turn 27%)

BB wins 69.7 BB

should i just flat on the flop and jam the turn or give up the turn on a blank? with my stacksize i thought it would be best just to jam, because i could put a lot of pressure on my opponent, if i just call the flop, i would have had 23 BB left!

i ran some calculations and on the flop i was slightly in front of the range i gave villain!

greezzz
tantalos


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5 replies
MikeIronTyson
Joined: 20.10.2016

In my opinion there is no need to go allin after that 7bb raise, based on his Stats he was likely to call anyway, so i woulda just call and give the flush a chance on the turn


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

First, I have moved your hand to the hand discussion forum.

Pre-flop is your call fine on his small 3bet with still the SB behind you and you have position as well. As played I don’t think you let him fold any hand with shoving. I would call 1 street and give up if you don’t hit your draw.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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tantalos11
Joined: 31.10.2012

thanks for your answer!

i will consider your advice in the next tournies :)

greezzz


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Malendes
Joined: 03.04.2011

I disagree. The pot is already huge compared to your stacksize and by just calling on the flop we risk a huge part of our stack without a made hand yet.
On a flop like this I expect most villians to auto cbet their whole 3bet-preflop range, specially a guy with these stats.
With this stacksize I prefer folding or shoving (most of the time) at this flop and since we have great equity I would have shoved as you did :f_thumbsup: I believe we will see some folds and when he calls we have great odds anyway.


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Primrose6789
Joined: 01.07.2016

Originally posted by SDK1987
First, I have moved your hand to the hand discussion forum.

Pre-flop is your call fine on his small 3bet with still the SB behind you and you have position as well. As played I don’t think you let him fold any hand with shoving. I would call 1 street and give up if you don’t hit your draw.

Me too. The flop is very dry and according to Villains stats, he is very likely to call you with Ace-high (what he did). I would call the c-bet and see the turn. Then that hand will be for me definitely over! We have Q high and a Q-high flush draw on a paired board. No point in investing more chips here. :f_mad:

With 23BBs you are still alive you can still wait a bit for a better chance to double up.


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