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JJ facing flop minraise

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BelligerentBird
Joined: 08.08.2016

PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (MP): 109.2 BB
CO: 106.6 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
BTN: 92.4 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 21.38, PFR: 18.62, 3Bet Preflop: 1.92, Hands: 145)
BB: 108.8 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
UTG: 152.8 BB (VPIP: 14.99, PFR: 11.80, 3Bet Preflop: 3.77, Hands: 634)
UTG+1: 143.8 BB (VPIP: 16.41, PFR: 13.85, 3Bet Preflop: 4.84, Hands: 197)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J♥ J♣

fold, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, BTN calls 4 BB, fold, BB calls 3 BB

Flop: (12.4 BB, 3 players) 5♣ 5♠ T♠
BB checks, Hero bets 7.8 BB, BTN calls 7.8 BB, BB raises to 15.6 BB, Hero calls 7.8 BB, BTN calls 7.8 BB

Turn: (59.2 BB, 3 players) A♣
BB bets 20 BB, Hero calls 20 BB, fold

River: (99.2 BB, 2 players) K♥
BB bets 69.2 BB and is all-in, fold

Hi guys! What is in your opinion villain's range when he minraises on the flop vs cbet and one call?


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7 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

TT,5x,stupid draws and air.
Unfortunately A and K can be in his air hands that bluffed OTF.
I think you can call OTF and even OTT because it is so small but river I wouldn't call.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I don’t think he would bluff the flop, because he never get folds with a min raise I think. I expect he has most likely trips or TT and in best case a flush draw in a spot like this, but it’s indeed difficult with those odds to fold. So I think calling the flop is fine, but the turn I don’t think he would barrel again with only a draw in to 2 players and I would fold with only 2 outs that will improve your hand.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

BB doesn't have neither 5x nor TT, QQ KK AA, stack-off on the flop


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BelligerentBird
Joined: 08.08.2016

Originally posted by Dadramel
BB doesn't have neither 5x nor TT, QQ KK AA, stack-off on the flop

I'm afraid you play higher limits and you don't know what some folks at NL5 are capable of :)


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Well, I have no idea what BB holds, but JJ doesn't beat any value hand that can (correctly) play that way on the flop. My guess is that he isn't trying to bluff two opponents with a min-raise. That would require some advanced leveling which he can't count on his opponents being capable of. Hence fold exploitatively on the flop with one of your (in this situation) weakest bluff catchers.


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slippyjim
Joined: 07.10.2011

At these levels in my experience
- a min raise OTF indicates top pair or over pair and rarely anything else, very few opponents raise draws and sets
- sets mainly call and slow play them unless there is a FD then they may raise, so I think he has 5x, Tx, JJ+
- TT wont raise that flop, people slow play the nuts 99% of the time

I think I call flop, c/f OTT


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BelligerentBird
Joined: 08.08.2016

Originally posted by slippyjim
At these levels in my experience
- a min raise OTF indicates top pair or over pair and rarely anything else, very few opponents raise draws and sets

Yes, I agree! From my experience the same. So I believe that in this situation his range OTF is Tx, QQ, KK, AA. And when he shoves OTR I put him on AA and KK.


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