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Top 2 pair on paired board on the river

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topolman
Joined: 22.10.2009

Hello,
I am new here. :)
What do you think about this play?

Party Poker $4.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
BTN: $8.01 - VPIP: 10, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 0.8, Hands: 124
SB: $5.28 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 19, 3B: 6, AF: 3.2, Hands: 134
Hero (BB): $9.72
UTG: $3.86 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 9, AF: 2.4, Hands: 917
MP: $4.93 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 5, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 66
CO: $4.09 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 1.0, Hands: 263

Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero is BB with J :club: K :club:
2 folds, CO raises to $0.14, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.30) J :heart: 8 :heart: K :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $0.14, Hero raises to $0.44, CO calls $0.30

Turn: ($1.18) 7 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.94, CO calls $0.94

River: ($3.06) 7 :club: (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $2.57, Hero?

Would you play it the same way?
Opponent is bad reg.
Preflop standard call?

Flop he raises so small on such a wet board. Is my raise ok? Could I raise more?

Turn I bet big, only T9 draw completed. Do I bet/raise or bet/fold?

River paired the board. Bet folding is not good i think so I check. I think he would check behind hands like AK, random 2 pairs.
I beat only missed FD or SD.
Is my analyze ok? How would you play this?
I seem to lose so much on the river against big bets from my opponents...


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3 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Pre call is standard.
OTF I think you can check raise, that should be fine.
OTT cbet is ok.
OTR I don't think villain would call with very many weaker hands if you barrel again, so checking is fine. I would go with check call probably because your play looks like a missed draw and I can see villain bluffing a lot. Imo he shouldn't have very many stronger hands because those would have likely stacked off OTF or OTT.

I checked this with Snowie too and it thinks you played it perfectly. OTR it would check call but it has only a very very small EV difference. Villain can have some K7,J7,87.


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topolman
Joined: 22.10.2009

I called, he shows AA. Can you look at his play? Is it standard?
Is it good to cbet that small on that flop?
If I had missed draw (what I thought it looked like) why would he bet so much OTR?


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

No I don't think villains play is standard.
When you xr the flop you have some bluffs and some 2pair+ hands. That turn card is actually very bad since it completes T9 and opens another flush draw -> half of the deck is bad for villain OTR. Snowie would actually recommend to fold AA OTT vs your bet and I believe that would be a good move.

OTR Snowie would just give up. Villain might think shoving is ok since draws miss and now he can rep some full houses too -> he thinks he has good fold equity. But imo he shouldn't turn his hand into a bluff.


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