More detailed response to vuciitis in regards to table count and edges
- The part about missing edges happened in December 2016 when I went from 4 to 5 tables. That is huge difference vs what I am doing now. I played whole 2016 4 tables, now I will play 3! So its significantly less for my comfort zone. Also my game in December 2016 had leaks for post and pre flop on specific positions, and now in March thanks to studying 60+ hours, I have went from negative to positive red line and studied textures where I had most trouble = expected win rate and EV much higher in comparison to what I did with 5 vs 4 tables.
So how it will work out, its very hard to say at this point. I can tell you that I played 1 session now 0.87 hours 3 tabling 30s, had 17.71evbb/100, EV ITM was 40.9% I ran at 28.57% and chipEV/Tourney was 114! I ended session 2 buy ins down despite playing well. 18 more buy ins left for shot taking
Overall, I am not worried at all about how 30s will go. I have until 15th of May deadline that I have set to make 5k total profit post RB. While playing staked I want to take shots at 30s because they bring significantly bigger hourly and I get to check my game plans and adjusting vs overall better and more aggressive opponents. If I drop 20 buy ins set in stop loss, I will just resume 3 tabling 15s for the rest of the month and that is that. Before month started I said that once I make 1k profit from starting BR I will take shots at 30s. That is what I am doing.
After I make 5k profit in the deal, I will likely play on my own 15s, 2 or 3 tabling them and building BR to play 30s by the end of the year.
Most important thing to keep in mind is goals I have set for myself in this year. They are very specific, measurable and easy to track.
I have study goals set (textures, leak fixing, coaching sessions, coaching my best friend); grind goals (1500 hours ideally!); hourly goals (30-35$ post RB); financial goal (50k post RB including guitar and music lessons).
Playing 30s fits very well into all the goals mentioned. They push me to improve faster vs better players; they motivate me even more to grind; they bring potentially much higher hourly and easier to reach 30-35$ there vs 15s for example; and in turn all that can lead me to get to my financial goal for the year faster.
I feel I am ready to play 30s full time. This is not just my opinion but also from my friend crusher who works with me. He plays 30s-100s with positive win rate, we did about 12 hours of coaching in February and his opinion is that I should definitely do 30s full time.
Last year I mentioned in the blog about 15s vs 30s. I was not ready to play 30s last year. My knowledge, game plans, adjusting, and leaks did not give me confidence that I am ready. However, 60+ hours of studying and active studying in February while 2 tabling, gained me so much edge that now my biggest leaks are covered (C and C- game SB 3 way and BB HU) and that by itself with improved hand reading and texture study makes me much more difficult to play against. On 15s this was not problem even with those C C- leaks, but on 30s I know I would get rapped. Now, different story.
So all in all, will take shots systematically, only after hitting certain profit targets with specific stop losses. For this month I set profit 1k and then decided to set 20 buy ins stop loss. In February I set up 5 buy ins and it lasted over 20 hours of grinding which showed me what to expect and where my edges and leaks are. Now 20 buy ins could last more less or the same. Doesn't matter. If I drop those 20 buy ins, I will move back to 15s and continue grinding them until I make 2k profit total and then take another shot but for 10 buy ins.
Ideally, this shot taking should continue into full time 3 tabling 30s. That is what I expect at least while being stacked and going for 5k profit by 15th of May 2017.
Time will be the best story teller. Expectations are one thing, reality and variance can prove it to be otherwise. Time will tell on large enough sample whats the most +EV way to get to that 30-35$ hourly and keep improving as poker player and increase hourly in the process.
