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[Closed] [FL-SH$2/4] calldown after a cap ?

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OlivierLu
Joined: 17.11.2007

Poker Stars $2/$4 Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 76068
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

Pre Flop: (1.5 SB) Hero is SB with K :spade: A :club:
1 fold, MP raises, 1 fold, BTN calls, Hero 3-bets, 1 fold, MP caps!, BTN calls, Hero calls

Flop: (13 SB) 8 :heart: T :diamond: T :spade: (3 players)
Hero checks, MP bets, BTN calls, Hero calls

Turn: (8 BB) J :diamond: (3 players)
Hero checks, MP bets, BTN calls, Hero calls ?

River: (11 BB) Q :spade: (3 players)
Hero checks, MP bets, BTN calls, Hero calls/raises ?

OlivierLu = weak calling station ?
I'm still looking for spot to increase my AFq...

Villains are both + ou - TAG.
MP=29/23/1.8/39 and BTN=28/18/1.3/60


8 replies
beni
Joined: 17.10.2006

raise river.


OlivierLu
Joined: 17.11.2007

Originally posted by beni
raise river.

Can you give me some arguments for that please ?


Olivier, I think you are always ahead BTN hand (on the river of course).

The problem is MP range. What can he have ?
99+, AQs+, AQo+

99 is possible in my opinion.

With this range he has to bet the river for value with any hand from his range!
Look at your equity:

 http://www.PokerStrategy.com 
Operation canceled... 3,830,896 games processed in 3 seconds.

Board:         Qs Jd Ts Td 8h 
Dead:          

               Equity    Win       Tie       Loss      Hand
Player 1:      31.107 %  18.951 %  24.313 %  56.736 %  99+, AQs+, AQo+
Player 2:      68.893 %  56.736 %  24.313 %  18.951 %  AcKs

So you have to raise the river for value. If he 3bets you are often beat by full-house and sometime you split with another AK (you have to always call his 3bet imo)

If we think that his CAPPing range is more tight in this 3-handed situation (but I think is more likely the first range, considering the BTN weakness) we can put him on TT+, AQs+, AKo+
and your equity is

 http://www.PokerStrategy.com 
Operation canceled... 3,756,079 games processed in 3 seconds.

Board:         Qs Jd Ts Td 8h 
Dead:          

               Equity    Win       Tie       Loss      Hand
Player 1:      47.911 %  29.151 %  37.520 %  33.328 %  TT+, AQs+, AKo
Player 2:      52.089 %  33.328 %  37.520 %  29.151 %  AcKs

Hi OlivierLu,

I tend to raise as well. But as he will 3-bet all better hands you need 66% against him.
As it's 3-way it's a bit more complicated.
If you raise he will 3-bet his better and call his worse hands.
If he raises you lose 2 BB. If he calls you often win 2 BB more because BU will call very often as well.
So with BU in you suddely only need 50% against him which makes it a raise here.

By the way: Gratz for winning the Jackpot. Was there a thread about you anywhere? ;)


OlivierLu
Joined: 17.11.2007

Originally posted by ciRith
By the way: Gratz for winning the Jackpot. Was there a thread about you anywhere? ;)

I've just openned a blog in English there :
OlivierLu vs mid-stakes Fixed-Limit

And the French admin made an interview (in French obv.):
http://fr.pokerstrategy.com/news/content/OlivierLu-remporte-le-Bad-Beat-Jackpot_17174


Nice blog. Sadly I can't find time to read them all. :/

Un carré de Dix à 23.743$ !

=

A cart of 23k$? ;) (I wasvery bad at frensh in school. Well at english too but that got better I hope. ;))


OlivierLu
Joined: 17.11.2007

Originally posted by ciRith
Nice blog. Sadly I can't find time to read them all. :/

Un carré de Dix à 23.743$ !

=

A cart of 23k$? ;) (I wasvery bad at frensh in school. Well at english too but that got better I hope. ;))

carré = square (or four of a kind in french-poker)
dix = ten


Ah makes more sense. ;)