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Should I call or fold with so many outs on the River?

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AnXfile378
Joined: 20.07.2017

So in this hand I had 9 Club outs, 4 9 outs and 4 Aces outs for a total of 15 outs on the river (since I cant count the 9 and A twice). Was it the right play for me to fold after the Turn based on the bet size of my opponent?

I have to type this out on hand since I am using a site called Global Poker here in the United States

The limit is .02/.04
4 People at the table

SB Stack Size 25.5BB
BB Stack Size 71.75BB
MP Stack Size 118.50BB
Hero (BU) Stack Size 108BB

Preflop Hero is Dealt
T♣: Q♣:

MP Calls 1BB
CO Calls 1BB
SB Calls 1BB
BB Checks

FLOP
J♥: 5♣: K♣:

SB Bets 4BB
BB Folds
MP Calls 4BB
HERO (BU) Calls 4BB

TURN
J♥: 5♣: K♣: 6♠:

SB Bets 20.5 BB
MP Folds
HERO (BU) Folds

The reason I folded here was because the pot was only 16 BB before his bet of 20.5 BB which seemed really suspect. He was a loose player and also had a short stack and this basically put himself all in. He definitely had a hand, and my concern was chasing on the river, even though I had so many outs which is why I folded. Also even if I hit the river, he had no more money so I felt like it wasn't a profitable call. I was really hoping to see my straight or flush on the turn.

Did I make the right play?

Thanks in advance.


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3 replies
corvusim
Joined: 20.06.2016

Not worth it. If he had 100bb I'd call that turn, but regardless of the draws hero is against a 25bb villain who's ahead even with random 52o here.


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Here is what Equilab has to say...

Board: J♥5♣K♣ 6♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
BU     40.73%  39.13%   1.60% { QcTc }
SB     59.27%  57.67%   1.60% { 66+, A2s+, K6s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, A7o+, K9o+, QTo+, JTo }

:diamond:  You're slightly behind vs a 25% range (fiddle with the ranges if you like -- it doesn't change much)
:diamond:  There are no implied odds as corvusim points out. If MP stayed in, this might be worth a call

Seems like a good fold...
VS


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villijmeen99
Joined: 04.11.2016

Hard to fold these ones for sure, but it is a definetely a fold here. Pot odds are very bad and there is no possibility for implied odds as villain is allin.


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