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BBvsBTN 44 check/raise OTT with OESD

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MatoStar
Joined: 22.07.2017

Hi everyone, I would like to post another hand, because I am not sure about my line if it was correct or not.

OTF: I think call is fine on 1/2 cbet I was considering about x/raise, but I prefer x/r on bigger sizing.

OTT: Nice card for my range, some two pairs hands completes, but also straights, so I am trying to represent it. And I think he has a lot of FD,SD, but mainly Ax hands which I wanted to make him fold OTT or OTR.

OTR: Firstly I thought that this is a bad card, but actually not really, it reduces his AK and bet on this card look strong imo. I analyzed this hand in equilab and the raise OTT and then bet OTR would be profitable move if he will able to fold 2rd and worse pairs OTR and also weak Ax, concretely A2,A4,A7,A8 (A9).
So the question is: Is he able to fold these hands?
How would you play this hand?

PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 38.10, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 22)
SB: 61 BB (VPIP: 49.23, PFR: 4.62, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 65)
Hero (BB): 120.2 BB
UTG: 210.6 BB (VPIP: 36.29, PFR: 30.65, 3Bet Preflop: 17.95, Hands: 125)
CO: 143.1 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 4♣ 4♠

fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) 3♦ A♣ 6♣
Hero checks, BTN bets 2.6 BB, Hero calls 2.6 BB

Turn: (10.7 BB, 2 players) 5♥
Hero checks, BTN bets 7.6 BB, Hero raises to 22 BB, BTN calls 14.4 BB

River: (54.7 BB, 2 players) K♦
Hero bets 33.9 BB, BTN calls 33.9 BB

Spoiler

Hero shows 4♣ 4♠ (One Pair, Fours)
(Pre 53%, Flop 16%, Turn 23%)
BTN shows A♦ J♠ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 47%, Flop 84%, Turn 77%)
BTN wins 117 BB


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2 replies
Benji009
Joined: 08.02.2009

I think i would fold flop because you're out of position + since BTN looks somewhat agressive, i think he often fires a second barrel on the turn anyway, which will put you in a tough spot. The call as played is not the worst play imo, but thinking ahead there are still 2 streets to come, i'll just give it up right here.

The turn: now you put him on a bluff OR on an Ax which he is willing to lay down. I just don't think he will fold his Ax enough times. Besides, he might have A3, A5 or A6 which made him hit his two pair. A TAG regular player might fold Ax here, but you only played 22 hands against this guy, so you simply don't have enough information to risk all your money here.

That's why i probably will fold OTF, just to avoid these situations πŸ˜‰


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Tonyx86
Joined: 28.03.2018

I dont like ur line here, mainly because of ur position. The preflop call is standard, but since we're not hitting our set, its soo hard to play this +ev against most villains. So i would have been done here.

As played, the turn is a nice card for semibluffing. He's barreling twice OTF and OTT. So u easily can put him at least on a weak Ace. But iam not sure if we're getting villain away from his Ax combos often enough.

Its even hard telling a story about 2pair imo. And do we really have that much 2pairs in our range? Not more than villain.
x/r turn means u have to bet almost any river. Hitting ur straight wont give u much value, because its an one gapper.

Like Benji said, the playability of this hand postflop is really tough and imo not worth it depending on the pot size OTF ;)


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