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Set of Aces - Call or fold river raise

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Mactece
Joined: 26.10.2016

888 Poker - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 108.6 BB (VPIP: 27.27, PFR: 27.27, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 11)
UTG: 126.6 BB (VPIP: 41.94, PFR: 22.58, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 31)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 12)
BTN: 127.4 BB (VPIP: 25.77, PFR: 21.92, 3Bet Preflop: 8.49, Hands: 266)
Hero (SB): 231.2 BB

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A♥ J♠

UTG raises to 2.2 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 1.8 BB, fold

Flop: (5.4 BB, 2 players) A♠ 4♠ A♦
Hero bets 2.6 BB, UTG calls 2.6 BB

Turn: (10.6 BB, 2 players) Q♠
Hero bets 5.2 BB, UTG calls 5.2 BB

River: (21 BB, 2 players) 4♦
Hero bets 10.4 BB, UTG raises to 52.2 BB,

Villain is as aggro as his stats suggest, and has been all-in before.

Call or Fold?


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8 replies
metalmonkey80
Joined: 15.08.2013

A fold is ok here. But normally I would have to see what villain had and call :f_tongue:


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Jordyvde
Joined: 03.05.2015

I don't see how we can ever fold here with second nut fh, he might raise some flushes here and there and he is probably raising smaller Ax for value aswell. If we fold our boat here that means we're only calling / shoving AQ here as we don't have QQ and AA in our range ever. If we do so we're just letting ourselves run over by other players and they're going to exploit you.


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Let's supposing villain raises with range as: 22+,ATs+,KJs+,QJs,JTs,T9s,98s,AJo+,KQo.

OTF you are loosing just for better kickers but as there are only 8% of A combos available and a real tread is 44. Regarding flush draw I would love to play a trip against players who chase draws because he'll make them 1 in 5 times and this means 4 times I'll win a big pot. You'd a full house.

I really don't understand why you lead at flop! weak move!

Anyway, as played I don't see can ever fold here. If he had something with great value beyond A he will re-raise ott or otr . In my opinion, he has something capable to support 3rd barreling with value like made pairs that were dead against your hand.

If and if he'd something better he didn't play well because with monster hands we would like to extract the maximum value possible and if you fold on the turn he lost a lot of value.

I supposed you called!


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Originally posted by Jordyvde
I don't see how we can ever fold here with second nut fh, he might raise some flushes here and there and he is probably raising smaller Ax for value aswell. If we fold our boat here that means we're only calling / shoving AQ here as we don't have QQ and AA in our range ever. If we do so we're just letting ourselves run over by other players and they're going to exploit you.

Agree with you because QQ n AA would be 3bet pot and because of this villains believe he is ahead with Ax or Qx on the river.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I have moved your hand to our hand discussion forum. There fits it better.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Mon3yMaChin3
Joined: 15.03.2011

Fold is good in this time. Raising showing monster hand


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Mactece
Joined: 26.10.2016

Thanks for all the comments and advice.
I have no idea why I led the flop :)
I called, of course - Villain had AQ for the nut full house


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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

If you have no idea why you lead the flop you should probably pay more attention and less tables :f_cool:
It's pretty sick but I think calling is fine. When he doesn't raise turn I wouldn't expect AQ but river raises are almost always nutted.. wouldn't feel bad about calling though matey


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