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Nut flush vs full house - wanting too much?

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CoosieMan
Joined: 11.07.2018

I started playing on PokerStars today, making the switch from Unibet. I must say the difference in level is night and day even at the microstakes. Anyway, I was doing well, getting to a 240 BB stack until disaster hit and I lost nearly half of it.

I'm a bit unsure about how well I handled this situation, starting from the flop. It's a 3-way pot at this stage. I have AKs, am in position and have a flush draw. SB bets, BB raises, hero calls. Correct call, or my first mistake?

I hit the flush on the turn. I figure there is not much that can go wrong at this point so I decide to slowplay and just check it back - I guess this was very wrong - possibly my 2nd mistake.

The river brings another 9 so here I realise I could be beat, but when my opponent bets, I'm thinking his range at this point indeed contains pocket 4s, pocket 3s, pocket 9s (hands that have me beat), but also any A9 and maybe even K9/Q9, and possibly a lower flush like QJ/QT/JT/87/76. So I raise.

When he 3-bets all-in, I know I can rule out anything that is not a flush, but I thought it was too small to fold - possibly my 3rd mistake.

So was this very poor play, slightly poor play or do you just accept that this is poker and move on? Any comments are welcome, be it about my play on the flop, the turn or the river.

PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 7 players
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker

UTG: $2.41 (121 bb)
MP (Hero): $4.83 (242 bb)
MP+1: $1.64 (82 bb)
CO: $2.53 (127 bb)
BU: $1.94 (97 bb)
SB: $2.01 (101 bb)
BB: $2.02 (101 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is MP with A K
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.06, 3 players fold, SB calls $0.05, BB calls $0.04

Flop: ($0.18) 4 9 3 (3 players)
SB bets $0.02, BB raises to $0.14, Hero calls $0.14, SB folds

Turn: ($0.48) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($0.48) 9 (2 players)
BB bets $0.46, Hero raises to $1.10, BB raises to $1.82 (all-in), Hero calls $0.72

Total pot: $4.12 (Rake: $0.14)

Showdown:
BB shows 4 4 (a full house, Fours full of Nines)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 51%, Flop: 74%, Turn: 23%, River: 100%)

MP (Hero) shows A K (a flush, Ace high)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 49%, Flop: 26%, Turn: 77%, River: 0%)

BB wins $3.98


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3 replies
Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Hi CoosieMan,
Welcome to PokerStrategy.com! :welcome:

I think that your analysis is pretty much spot-on.
It is important to bet -- and bet fairly large -- when you hit.
As you point out, worse hands can call.
If he does call, the same result may occur, but the important thing is that in the long run you will make money.

If you don't bet, and he doesn't make it -- you make nothing.

Have a look around the entire site -- and don't overlook the bonus offers.

All the best,
VS


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Shurikk
Joined: 21.05.2014

1. Bet turn! As VorpalF2F said

If you don't bet, and he doesn't make it -- you make nothing.

2. Call river. You can't be sure that your hand is the nuts now. Yes, he has some lower flushes in his range, but I think raise after river 'has paired' is very dispersing.


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CoosieMan
Joined: 11.07.2018

Thank you both, and thanks for the welcome.

It's funny how the brain does a lot of learning during your sleep. I woke up this morning and I immediately thought "how did I not bet that turn, it's such an obvious bet to make". :)

On that turn I got so satisfied to see my Ace high flush come together, I just considered the game won and even stopped thinking about what my opponent could be holding. Seeing that his set still has a 23% chance of beating my flush (which is much higher than what my gut feeling would tell me), this was a case of very bad complacency. A very good lesson to learn.

(by the way, a couple of hands later I lost another 200BB pot with AK. I raise preflop, he 3-bets, I call, flop brings an ace, I check/call him down 3 streets, he shows AK suited and he the turn+river had given him the flush... ouch).


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