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AA ~ River fold

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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $2.80 (VPIP: 29.63, PFR: 8.64, 3Bet Preflop: 2.82, Hands: 163)
Hero (SB): $10.00
BB: $10.00 (VPIP: 20.45, PFR: 13.64, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 47)
UTG: $16.24 (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
MP: $10.00 (VPIP: 20.41, PFR: 19.39, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 101)
CO: $16.06 (VPIP: 23.68, PFR: 18.39, 3Bet Preflop: 12.43, Hands: 455)

Hero posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A♣ A♥

fold, fold, CO raises to $0.25, fold, Hero raises to $1.00, fold, CO calls $0.75

Flop: ($2.10, 2 players) J♣ 5♥ Q♥
Hero bets $1.20, CO calls $1.20

Turn: ($4.50, 2 players) T♥
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($4.50, 2 players) 5♦
Hero bets $1.29, CO raises to $4.00, Hero calls $2.71

Spoiler

CO shows 7♣ 5♣ (Three of a Kind, Fives)
(Pre 20%, Flop 21%, Turn 9%)
Hero mucks A♣ A♥ (Two Pair, Aces and Fives)
(Pre 80%, Flop 79%, Turn 91%)
CO wins $11.94

never putting flushes or full houses in his range after he checks back the turn and we hold the Ah. Should I be herp derp folding here or what, such a sick spot as per usual


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5 replies
Sunrise1912
Joined: 24.11.2009

I am most probably 100% firing the turn here. the T improves his range but there are bunch of weaker hands that would still call here - every pair + straight draw, mb pair + flush draw, etc.

As played - most people will tell you here to fold the river as the population under bluffs in these spots. However, this is one of the best bluffcatchers to have since you block both - the straight and the flush and as you mentioned he would not check behind the turn with straight/flush/set or two pairs.

He represents a 5 which is very unlikely for him to have. I would say ez call and i would have certainly did it in game even if the river didnt pair the bottom 5, however, expect reviews which are result oriented due to posting the results.


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Tonyx86
Joined: 28.03.2018

Originally posted by Sunrise1912
I am most probably 100% firing the turn here. the T improves his range but there are bunch of weaker hands that would still call here - every pair + straight draw, mb pair + flush draw, etc.

+1

AQ, KQ, AJ including some FDs ...theres a bunch of hands we're getting value from OTT. Against a raise it's tough but we have backdoors for the nuts. If he flats, i would x/c many river cards as well.

As played it's a weird bet OTR. Our range might look polarized to him, but on the other hand we may intend him to bluff, because the small bet looks weak. So u never know if he value raises or bluff raises. Thats why i would either x/c or bet about 1/2-2/3 pot size here.


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Jakks
Joined: 12.12.2015

always fire the TURN, dont be a pu**y mate :f_mad:


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

i like it.
on the river i don't see many 5x in his range but it actually looks like his most likely holding, i probably call as well but expecting to lose most of the time
[edit: agree with the guy below that we can consider a bigger bet/fold]


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Talisker74
Joined: 17.08.2009

I would bet the turn as well.

Why do you bet river so small?

And yes as an exploit it would be better to fold vs the river raise...


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