PokerStars, $0.98 + $0.12 - Hold'em No Limit - 3,500/7,000 (875 ante) - 8 players
UTG: 111,541 (16 bb)
UTG+1: 120,089 (17 bb) unknown
MP: 83,591 (12 bb)
MP+1: 432,233 (62 bb) VPIP 21, PFR 11, 3-bet 7.7, 48 hands
CO: 116,636 (17 bb)
BU: 108,643 (16 bb)
SB (Hero): 225,366 (32 bb)
BB: 97,189 (14 bb)
Pre-Flop: (17,500) Hero is SB with A♥ Q♣
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to 14,000, 1 fold, MP+1 calls 14,000, 2 players fold, Hero 3-bets to 63,000, 2 players fold, MP+1 calls 49,000
Flop: (154,000) A♠ J♥ 8♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, MP+1 bets 50,820, Hero raises to 161,491 (all-in), MP+1 calls 110,671
Spoiler
Turn: (476,982) 4♠ (2 players, 1 all-in)
River: (476,982) 7♥ (2 players, 1 all-in)
Total pot: 476,982
Showdown:
SB (Hero) shows A♥ Q♣ (a pair of Aces)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 70%, Flop: 17%, Turn: 7%, River: 0%)
MP+1 shows J♦ A♦ (two pair, Aces and Jacks)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 30%, Flop: 83%, Turn: 93%, River: 100%)
MP+1 wins 476,982
Hi,
Deep in the hot $1.10, ran into this spot. I was a top20 stack with about 100 left
Pre - standard? Any comments?
Flop - am I right that given the size of the pot and the stack size, there's no way I'm getting away from this hand? I'm ahead of most of villain's range; hands I'm scared of AJ, 88, and maaaaybe A8s (not sure if they call the second raise with it). They shouldn't have many AA, AK, or JJ, and I'm ahead of everything else (I would give them pocket pairs, weaker Ax, KT+, suited broadways)
Once I decided to play for stacks, thought that check/shove was the best way to get a shove in on the flop. The board has a straight draw possibility, but is dry otherwise; I can still get the stack in on remaining two streets if villain checks back, and showing weakness on the flop may entice them to stick around with hands they would fold to the second bet otherwise. Is this a reasonable line or should I go for a more conventional bet-bet / bet-call?
Thanks!