
It's been a while that I've not been posting, so here's one for discussion.
Villain: 60hands, 16/9/9
Preflop: It is a call against BB. It's is a 4x 3bet but I have position. Should I include this hand in my 4bet range vs BB?
Decided to just flat.
Flop: I get a gut-shot draw. He bets 1/3, which is on the low side imo. Board is wet, I was expecting a bigger bet or a check. Easy call imo. Raising here didn't appeal me at the time because I don't have a heart and can't continue bluffing on much turns. Could raise flop to check-back turn and see a free-card, it is another option.
Turn: pairs the board and he checks. I think he should continue often here, so I see this check as weakness. I'm checking some turns as well, maybe probing my PP from protection. My plan here was to check-back and re-evaluate river. On a heart and check I'd probably overbet river as a bluff. If he decided to bet river, probably give up.
River: he checks again. at this point I don't think he has much, but sometimes it could be a monster slowplay. Not sure about if this is a spot where I'm being induced to bet often. His hand looks like some missed Ax, my kicker is not the best I can lose to AQ. AK should bet imo. Ax's on a FD's should be betting turn often imo as well.
I have some showdown value but he has some PP (66-99).
I have some value hands, but the turn round going check-check is what cause my doubts for the river here. I don't know for sure if I can represent a value hand and get some folds.
Despite that, at the time I decided to bet 1/2 trying to represent it instead of going to showdown.
Note: The check-twice line from villain is often considered an "auto-profit" line in some spots at the micros and maybe that justifies overbetting in this rivers.
Ideas?