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Super Wet Board TopSet

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aaneto12
Joined: 22.03.2018

Good,

In this hand UTG fish does limp MP makes isoraise that can be quite wide ... I opted to call because we will have better hands to squeeze and not to hit the top of the MP range ... and we can still call calmly if any of blinds wanna squeeze ...

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $6.19 (123.8 bb)
BB: $4.49 (89.8 bb)
UTG: $4.97 (99.4 bb)
MP: $5.58 (111.6 bb)
CO: $5.25 (105 bb)
Hero (BTN): $5 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with T♣: T♥:
UTG calls $0.05, MP raises to $0.15, CO folds, Hero calls $0.15, 2 folds, UTG calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.52) 6♣: 5♦: T♠: (3 players)
UTG checks, MP checks, Hero bets $0.35, UTG folds, MP calls $0.35

Here when the MP check will rarely have Tx, sets and Overpairs ... so his range is very draws and 2nd / 3rd pairs and overcards with backdoors, of course he may have slowplay with sets ...

Turn: ($1.22) 7♦: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.90, MP calls $0.90

definitely was not the best turn ... complete some draws pro vilao (89s) and increase the equity in the backdoors that he called the flop ... here I have doubts in the size I used ... he has 4c of 89s that raisa but I think which can still raisar a few times sets ... betei around 75% to charge for flush and GS ... 99 88 ....

River: ($3.02) 3♦: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $1, MP calls $1

I think it should not have betado we have SD value. Full for flush may still have played on call with str8 on the turn ... he rarely reaches the river with Tx or Overpairs .... and very honestly I think 55 and 66 will bet most of the time flop and turn, I only see the vilao to pay worse with 77 ... the plan was thinvalue bet / fold pa raise ...

Results:

Spoiler

$5.02 pot ($0.25 rake)
Final Board: 6♣: 5♦: T♠: 7♦: 3♦:
MP mucked 7♠: 7♣: and lost (-$2.40 net)
Hero showed T♣: T♥: and won $4.77 ($2.37 net)


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3 replies
hrabia72
Joined: 25.08.2010

Hi
I think we dont have a value bet OTR simply because as You wrote You can beat only 77 and he should have more combos of Flushes so You dont have more than 50% Equity vs his calling range.
Villain will Cbet most of the time his OP,Sets and str8 draws OTF so when he ch/call he has 77-99 maybe weak Tx ( however most people will just cbet all of Tx) and some BDFD with OC or GS.
OTT You still have vbet from FD and from Tx (if he has it) and OTF when flush completes You should check back
Frankly I think that villain will ch/r OTT with 77 ;)


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

You say he's a fish and than I expect he will call with weaker hands than a set on the river and than you can easy get more than enough value for a bet and off course you will lose sometimes of better.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

Your triple probe line is too value have imo in a mwp.
Check back flop to protect your range.
As played you will get away with it because players won't raise your river bet enough (and if he is a station it is totally ok).


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