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(FR) - TT vs check/raise OTR

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pguest
Joined: 01.04.2009

Questions below.
No stats or reads at that moment.

$0.05 NL - Holdem - 6 players

BB: 135 BB (VPIP: 29.41, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 17)
UTG: 109 BB (VPIP: 80.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
MP: 25.2 BB (VPIP: 8.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
Hero (CO): 101 BB
BTN: 58.4 BB (VPIP: 36.67, PFR: 23.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 30)
SB: 74 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has T♣ T♦

UTG raises to 4 BB, fold, Hero calls 4 BB, fold, SB calls 3.6 BB, fold
Questions and thoughts:

Spoiler

I thought a lot about 3betting here.
Some villains OR4x with premium hands only QQ+. Some with AQ+ only (and 3x with QQ+). Some with garbage only.
So it is hard to deduce which villain this is, without a showdown or a bigger sample size...

Flop: (13 BB, 3 players) 6♠ 3♣ 6♥
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets 7.2 BB, fold, UTG calls 7.2 BB
Questions and thoughts:

Spoiler

Still unsure about villain's range here. Is he trying to trap or does it have AX hands + weak pairs?
My thought was betting here and only continue if villain didn't check/raised me.

Turn: (27.4 BB, 2 players) 6♦
UTG checks, Hero checks
Questions and thoughts:

Spoiler

Way ahead/way behind? Not sure. Villain could have a slowplayed big pair (wouldn't he had check/raised me OTF?), an AX type hand or a small pair.
So I decided not to cbet here and cbet OTR instead.

River: (27.4 BB, 2 players) 2♠
UTG checks, Hero bets 8.6 BB, UTG raises to 97.8 BB and is all-in, fold
Questions and thoughts:

Spoiler

When villain checked again, I decided to go for a small bet OTR, trying to get some value from AX or worst pairs.
After the check/raise, I thought a bunch about calling. It could be a complete bluff, but it looked a lot like a slowplayed big pair.
Would an A-high/K-high do that?

Spoiler

UTG wins 42.4 BB


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4 replies
DarkTunnel
Joined: 14.08.2013

I would bet the turn the make his fold his equity with hands like QJ, KJ, KQ. It is a good spot for value againts AK, AQ as well. The size would be around this 1/3you bet on the river.

Againts this x/r on the river it is an easy fold againts an unknown.


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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

Check back flop. Keep in mind players don't have to cbet good hands all the time. You'll fold out his junk with a bet here imo.
Dark has said the rest of it and I pretty much agree with him.
Your flop and turn line looks a bit weird, so I'm not sure about the river size.


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GridironAssassin
Joined: 19.12.2014

I like your flop bet. He (UTG) hits overpair+ and OESD @ 27% of time. A big chunk of their range(s) are overcards. You benefit substantially by denying equity and protecting. I think he will continue with all overpairs. He will have 77+ here for sure. You are a slight dog vs. said pair range.

I think you range is pretty capped here to JJ being the best pair in your range. So on this turn, if you bet, are you bet folding or bet calling? I think I bet/call JJ since you will have equity edge vs his entire overpair range which he can certainly jam here, where you are more like 60/40 vs that same range with TT. I don't like bet/folding TT ever so maybe checking turn is best. It stings to bet fold anything (pair wise here) since you are given a free river vs. his big hands. If we want to play totally balanced, I can get behind betting our 6 JJ combos and finding 6 unpaired combos top bluff with. I don't think I want to "bluff" any pair here.

River is just weird. I really think this is pretty close. Your range looks weak so would he jam 6x or AA/KK/QQ here or put in a milking raise looking for wider calls? Checking back seems weird for you with a pretty strong hand, so I guess going for value is fine. (I think 77, 88, 99 calls here more often than it raises. I think even AK calls here sometimes TBH)


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pguest
Joined: 01.04.2009

Thanks, all!

Villain had

Spoiler

A6s. So, he/she was ahead the whole time.


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