Deep waters, my friends, deep waters.
It looks like at the moment it is almost impossible for me to win an all-in situation, unless I have 100% equity. For past few days, I have lost quite many all-ins, and in most I have had the best equity. A lot of those happened at PartyPoker, and there is very high rate of Quads at the tables. And when one loses to 2, 3 or 6 outers constantly, it's time to search for the tin foil hat.
Is Party rigged? Honestly, I am not sure. Yeah variance is a bitch, and streaks happen. But as no one (without black market software) can get the data from the games, who knows? I know that I have lost around 50 buyins to VERY soft playerpool, while generating good and profitable spots constantly. Unheard downswing? Nope. But as I can't even see my hands and results, nor anyone else can, how can we be sure that games are not rigged?
"Why would they do that? It doesn't make sense!" is the quite common phrase. Well, history is full of companies who have done something that no one would ever believe. Would it be THAT weird, if a site rigs the games so that weaker (losing) players have small edge in rng? If that sounds ridiculous, there is an Indian pokerroom that is accused to do just that. There are even posts in internet where site employees have said that they make losing players win in all-in situations. Of course all of that is just posts and rumors. I played once in that site, and stopped playing cos the games were rigged in my opinion. Site had forced run it twice, and I lost almost always at least the other one, no matter what the equities were. When you split the pot 9/10 times with set vs set or nut fullhouse vs 1 outer, it can't be just variance. And internet had quite a lot of similar observations from other players. So site rigging the rng has happened.
And if you think it, for a site rigging the rng in favor of losing players creates only good outcomes. Regs will keep playing, as they will rationalize things and suck it up. Bad players win a bit more, so they are more happy and probably over estimate their skills. Meaning more playing, and when they finally lose their bankroll they will deposit more a bit more likely. Just like in slot machines. Once someone wins a big win, he has the idea of that game being great reinforced to his mind and he will keep playing it. Even when it doesn't give big wins anymore.
So, back to the original question: Do I think that Party has rigged rng? Answer is the same, I don't know. What bothers me is that they removed hand histories completely, which opens the door for doubt. Now we just have to trust them. For now, I put it all into the variance. But if this ****** keeps going on, I will just play somewhere else.
P.S. If they had the same system as RIO, where you will get your hand histories 24h later and only your own nickname is visible, it would be good. Then you could review your own play and have at least data of how you run in all-in situations. If suddenly a lot of winning players find themselves running a lot under EV, it would be alarming. So allowing hand histories gives players more safety and trust towards the fairness of the games. Removing hand histories works the opposite.