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55 turn set villain raise

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ToddBrunson
Joined: 23.05.2010

Hi!

Can i fold the set the turn or river? I hope villain shows over pairs or two pairs, 33 or little chance busted draws, hearts flush?

Seat 1: Player1 ( $7.52 USD ) - VPIP: 22, PFR: 14, 3B: 5, AF: 1,6, Hands: 2249
Seat 2: Hero ( $5.00 USD ) -
Seat 3: Player3 ( $8.38 USD ) - VPIP: 19, PFR: 11, 3B: 8, AF: 2,4, Hands: 436
Seat 4: Player4 ( $4.64 USD ) - VPIP: 16, PFR: 3, 3B: 2, AF: 1,7, Hands: 1552
Seat 5: Player5 ( $5.90 USD ) - VPIP: 19, PFR: 11, 3B: 2, AF: 1,9, Hands: 737
Seat 6: Player6 ( $7.99 USD ) - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 6, AF: 3,7, Hands: 34066
Seat 7: Player7 ( $4.93 USD ) - VPIP: 14, PFR: 6, 3B: 2, AF: 2,1, Hands: 1466
Seat 8: Player8 ( $5.16 USD ) - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 6, AF: 2,7, Hands: 8457
Seat 9: Player9 ( $5.07 USD ) - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 3,4, Hands: 3415
Player5 posts small blind [$0.02 USD].
Player6 posts big blind [$0.05 USD].

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players

SB: $5.90 (118 bb)
BB: $7.99 (159.8 bb)
UTG+1: $4.93 (98.6 bb)
UTG+2: $5.16 (103.2 bb)
MP1: $5.07 (101.4 bb)
MP2: $7.52 (150.4 bb)
Hero (MP3): $5 (100 bb)
CO: $8.38 (167.6 bb)
BTN: $4.64 (92.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 5♠: 5♣:
3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.12, Hero calls $0.12, 4 folds

Flop: ($0.31) 3♥: 8♦: 9♠: (2 players)
MP2 bets $0.15, Hero calls $0.15

Turn: ($0.61) 5♥: (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $0.40, MP2 raises to $1.20, Hero calls $0.80

River: ($3.01) Q♠: (2 players)
MP2 bets $2.31,

Spoiler

Hero calls $2.31

Spoiler

Results: $7.63 pot ($0.32 rake)
Final Board: 3♥: 8♦: 9♠: 5♥: Q♠:
MP2 showed 6♠: 7♠: and won $7.31 ($3.53 net)
Hero mucked 5♠: 5♣: and lost (-$3.78 net)


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7 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I'm not a fan of calling the flop with only 2 outs for a set against a TAG with in mind that you are sometimes crushed against a set. Without a decent plan on the turn I would just fold the flop. As played I would go for it on the turn, but his check/raise is suspicious.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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ToddBrunson
Joined: 23.05.2010

But villain weak tag and lot of cbet about 85% so i think villain lot of times try steal the flop and i have got position for villain and turn if villain not hit something maybe give up. Thank you!


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romanista06
Joined: 03.10.2014

Originally posted by ToddBrunson
But villain weak tag and lot of cbet about 85% so i think villain lot of times try steal the flop and i have got position for villain and turn if villain not hit something maybe give up. Thank you!

Cbet turn is big too? And f to float?
I don't like this flop call, but if villain has cbet turn something like 35%, so I believe thats a good call.


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WaterDragon26
Joined: 30.06.2019

I think, your five percent chance to make a set on the turn was not worth paying 33% of the total pot especially that your outs would make a straight possible; but, of course, there was always the possibility that he had just two over cards.


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jonny1971
Joined: 04.01.2017

Bad luck but he can not have so mutch bad hands if raises on turn and bet on the river


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

seems ok, probably fold flop against players with a reasonable cbetting strategy.
of course we aren't going to win this hand very often after he raises the turn, but that's life.


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srichards
Joined: 26.11.2012

I always fold if there are two board cards over my pair. Thus, I would have folded the flop. I would have smooth called the Turn as you played. I would have raised All In on the River and lost. It should not bother you if your set loses to a non-obvious straight.


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