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AA on flop

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recover4me
Joined: 20.06.2019

PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 245.2 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
SB: 100.4 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 17.50, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 41)
BB: 181.4 BB (VPIP: 21.26, PFR: 16.43, 3Bet Preflop: 4.88, Hands: 213)
UTG: 94.2 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
Hero (MP): 166.8 BB
CO: 64.4 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 100.00, 3Bet Preflop: 100.00, Hands: 3)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A♦ A♠

UTG raises to 2.4 BB, Hero raises to 10 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 7.6 BB

Flop: (21.4 BB, 2 players) 8♥ 4♣ 2♥
UTG checks, Hero bets 15 BB, UTG raises to 35 BB, ????


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6 replies
Zeta
Joined: 10.03.2006

Easy shove.

Villain has a lot of overpairs and some Flushdraws. I would give him a range like 88+, AJhh+, 44, 22, 5h6h, 6h7h. Against this range you have 69% equity. Since it is NL5 you can count in some weird bluffs, too.

€dit: Even against a fairly tighter range of JJ+,88,44,22,AhKh,AhQh,7h6h,6h5h you have 62% equity. Shove shove shove.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Don't forget you can discount some hands from your range Zeta like QQ+ that would 4bet and go broke pre-flop. Indeed flop seems like a easy push against his range.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Zeta
Joined: 10.03.2006

You're totally right SDK. If you discard QQ+ from Villains range and only remain with JJ,88,44,22,KhKs,AhKh,AhQh,7h6h,6h5h VS AdAs the equity shifts down badly to only 47%. Still a shove given the money already in the pot, but quite closer.

Thanks!


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Coach
maniac
Joined: 29.03.2006

why you want to shove on the flip instead of calling and getting it in on the turn? Is this just protection and the fact that he may get away from stuff ott that he go broke otf?

greets

maniac


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Sunrise1912
Joined: 24.11.2009

Originally posted by maniac
why you want to shove on the flip instead of calling and getting it in on the turn? Is this just protection and the fact that he may get away from stuff ott that he go broke otf?

greets

maniac

absolutely, if he for example has JJ and the turn arrives K of hearts - you will never get more money out of him.


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Coach
maniac
Joined: 29.03.2006

well its more like that there are lots of action killers like any heart for example

greets

maniac


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