Villain is a "reg" (sadly for him not the smartest one).
Obviously his range is 90% pocket pairs and maybe 10% small suited connectors, it's why my plan is simply to check the turn to overshove the river (having the Jd limits his random FDs). When he surprisingly bets the turn either he is overplaying his small PPs or he has 44, 98s, 87s. I have no reaons to shove and i let him bet.
The lesson is: don't flat poket pairs from MP and CO, it doesn't make any sense ♦
PokerStars - €0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 63.38 BB
Hero (SB): 163.38 BB
BB: 121.44 BB
UTG: 201.5 BB
CO: 172.58 BB
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♦ J♠
UTG raises to 2 BB, CO calls 2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 12 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 10 BB
Flop: (27 BB, 2 players) 8♦ 4♦ 8♣
Hero bets 7.66 BB, CO calls 7.66 BB
Turn: (42.32 BB, 2 players) J♥
Hero checks, CO bets 25.6 BB, Hero calls 25.6 BB
River: (93.52 BB, 2 players) 5♠
Hero checks, CO bets 127.32 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 118.12 BB and is all-in
CO shows 4♠ 4♣ (Full House, Fours full of Eights)
(Pre 19%, Flop 83%, Turn 2%)
Hero shows J♦ J♠ (Full House, Jacks full of Eights)
(Pre 81%, Flop 17%, Turn 98%)
Hero wins 323.76 BB