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JJ top set on a straight board

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shooshte
Joined: 23.08.2018

PartyGaming - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 236 BB
Hero (SB): 136.6 BB
BB: 154.8 BB
UTG: 248.2 BB
MP: 154.6 BB
CO: 55.8 BB

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J♦ J♣

fold, MP raises to 2.4 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB, BB calls 1.4 BB

Flop: (7.2 BB, 3 players) J♠ 5♦ 9♥
Hero bets 4.6 BB, BB calls 4.6 BB, fold

Turn: (16.4 BB, 2 players) T♣
Hero bets 10.4 BB, BB calls 10.4 BB

River: (37.2 BB, 2 players) Q♣
Hero checks, BB bets 15 BB, Hero calls 15 BB

Spoiler

Hero mucks J♦ J♣ (Three of a Kind, Jacks)
(Pre 82%, Flop 95%, Turn 82%)
BB shows 8♣ 8♦ (Straight, Queen High)
(Pre 18%, Flop 5%, Turn 18%)
BB wins 64 BB

Should I be folding the river here? I remember thinking during this hand he may be value betting a pair, but it does not seem likely on this board.


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3 replies
Purity
Joined: 28.01.2008

As played I would bet higher on the flop, higher on the turn and fold the river, think you will be facing straights too often.

Think I personally prefer check/raising here on the flop instead of donk betting though. Unless you have stats/reads that villain is super passive and has a very low cbet.


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RocknRollAd
Joined: 18.08.2011

Standard line: check/raising here, because you want initiative and all the money in the pot on the river.
If no one bets you can overbet the turn and most rivers would give up or blockbet the river, in stead of xC).
(this runout is a bit unlucky, since his calling range still has KJ, KT, KQ, 78s, T8s; I didn't expect to see the hand in the spoiler still in his range)


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would 3bet JJ for sure pre-flop or villain is extreme tight.
As played I would check to the raiser on flop or you expect villain will check back most of the time.

Turn and river seems fine. You get a nice prize to call the river.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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