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Pocket kings vs big raise OTF

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LahtiPelican
Joined: 27.04.2013

Stats of villain (based on a very small 185 hands sample):

PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.05/$0.10 - 5 players

UTG (Hero): $10.43 (104 bb)
CO: $11.75 (118 bb)
BU: $15.29 (153 bb)
SB: $4.06 (41 bb)
BB: $10.30 (103 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with K K
Hero raises to $0.30, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.30, 2 players fold

Flop: ($0.75) 8 J Q (2 players)
Hero bets $0.50, BTN raises to $2.22, Hero ???

I think call is not an option here, only fold or raise/broke. Which one would you choose here?


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8 replies
CharlotteD
Joined: 04.02.2013

Fold would be the right option. You beat none of his value hands, only bluffs. And you have no info he bluffs alot vs cbet.
Dont look at stats too much.


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pisiattu
Joined: 01.04.2010

I should use a Cannon here, flop drawy and this oppo had ofter hitten, but your kings blocker oesd.

If he doesn't overplay Qx is ok your fold, he can has to, and many two pair.

Your fold is a safe choose, nh


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LahtiPelican
Joined: 27.04.2013

Thank you guys!

After a second review, I think his raise range could look something like this:

I did not put him on JJ and QQ, cause he could 3bet preflop with them.

According to Equilab, I am a bit ahead of his range.

Asztal: Q♦J♥8♠
       Részesedés   Nyert  Osztozás
MP2        57.68%  57.68%     0.00% { KdKs }
BU         42.32%  42.32%     0.00% { 88, AQs, QJs, Q9s-Q8s, JTs, J8s, AQo, Q9o, JTo, J8o }


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CharlotteD
Joined: 04.02.2013

Your reraising range is too wide I believe. I think his reraising range does not contain the one pair hands with inside straight draw that you have put in his range. Don't know why you didn't include QJo, would be in his reraising range. If you would calculate with these adjustments, you would not be a favourite.
Hands like Q9o, I don't expect to reraise here, even AQ would certainly not always reraise vs UTG open and cbet.


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bmwteam
Joined: 14.11.2009

9Ts QJo


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LahtiPelican
Joined: 27.04.2013

Thanks for your thought!


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A lot of those hands probably aren't in btns flatting range vs utg QQ JJ can be there and 88 T9s QJs also AQ if they don't always 3bet it.But likely not TJo and the off suit 1 gappers and not the suited 1 gappers either unless there pretty fishy then they can be.And i'm not to sure about bluffs because hands that could potentially bluff like KTs usually aren't calling either same with ATs so i don't really see that many bluffs.Unless again there pretty fishy then they are more likely to have more of those hands.But even for a 34/6 the off suit hands are probably not going to be in their range.


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RikudouSennin
Joined: 19.07.2018

Hi. Broke it and laugh happily or laugh crying. See his vpip and his donks preflop. I fear that Unfortunately you cannot fold it against him. I know it's not a decent argument, but here in this case, you are top of your range / your rangeadvantage. It might sound a bit hard but if you are not willing to risk and do not broke this hand at this stage there - then maybe fold Kings preflop.

By the way. I very like the way you posted the stats on him. Thumps up ❗👍✌️


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