Hand from Ignition 10NL, 6max
Do you all think that the turn and river shove is too optimistic? Was planning on x/raising the flop all in but could definitely see merit in betting off flop and turn. Anyway, as played I thought villains check back on the flop indicated a marginal hand - something like JJ, TT, 9x maybe some Qx that didn't bet and any other stuff that completely missed and doesn't bet - AJs, 88 etc.
Since, I put villain on this range I decided to barrel off thinking I could get most of that to fold by the river except some of the Qx. Villain ends up calling with A♥:9♥: a hand I thought would definitely fold by the river. Is this bluff too optimistic?
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker Tracking Software
NL Holdem 0.10(BB)
HERO ($12.20) [VPIP: 25.5% | PFR: 17.1% | AGG: 29.7% | Flop Agg: 31.3% | Turn Agg: 31.2% | River Agg: 23.8% | 3-Bet: 8.9% | Fold to 3-Bet: 48.3% | 4-Bet: 13.5% | Hands: 58893]
UTG ($6.23) [VPIP: 100% | PFR: 14.3% | AGG: 12.5% | Hands: 9]
HJ ($10.32) [VPIP: 14% | PFR: 7% | AGG: 44.4% | Flop Agg: 27.3% | Turn Agg: 75% | River Agg: 66.7% | 3-Bet: 4.2% | 4-Bet: 0% | Hands: 58]
CO ($5) [VPIP: 100% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 1]
BTN ($10.58) [VPIP: 27.9% | PFR: 17.6% | AGG: 42.1% | Hands: 72]
SB ($8.42) [VPIP: 23.8% | PFR: 9% | AGG: 17.3% | Hands: 124]
Dealt to Hero: A♦ K♦
UTG Calls $0.10, HJ Raises To $0.40, CO Calls $0.30, BTN Folds, SB Folds, HERO Raises To $2.20, UTG Folds, HJ Calls $1.80, CO Folds
Hero SPR on Flop: [1.64 effective]
Flop ($4.95): 9♦ Q♠ 5♦
HERO Checks, HJ Checks
Turn ($4.95): 9♦ Q♠ 5♦ 3♠
HERO Bets $2.36 (Rem. Stack: $7.64), HJ Calls $2.36 (Rem. Stack: $5.76)
River ($9.67): 9♦ Q♠ 5♦ 3♠ 8♣
HERO Bets $7.64 (allin), HJ Calls $5.76 (allin)
Spoiler
HJ shows: A♥ 9♥
HJ wins: $20.14