mico/low MTT: a new hope

been a while since my last update, busy with other stuff (company), but will post a more elaborate update later.

I do have a question I want to ask you guy`s. So where I was happy with the way I was playing, I`m not really anymore.
Doing bad calls (knowing I`m beat but refusing to lay down the hand), way to lose at times,...
Now while looking into this, I came across something I can`t explain in my EV chart.

This is the hand;
PokerStars - 1500/3000 Ante 375 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 26.27 BB
BTN: 83.31 BB
SB: 8.14 BB
Hero (BB): 13.33 BB
UTG: 1.75 BB
UTG+1: 56.59 BB
MP: 89.1 BB
MP+1: 40.06 BB

8 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has 8♥ 6♦

UTG raises to 1.62 BB and is all-in, fold, MP calls 1.62 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 1.62 BB, fold, Hero calls 0.63 BB

Flop: (8 BB, 4 players) 5♦ 7♥ 7♠
Hero checks, MP bets 4 BB, fold, Hero raises to 11.58 BB and is all-in, MP calls 7.58 BB

Turn: (31.16 BB, 3 players) 9♣

River: (31.16 BB, 3 players) 7♣

Hero shows 8♥ 6♦ (Straight, Nine High)
(Pre 26%, Flop 44%, Turn 90%)

MP shows A♣ 5♣ (Full House, Sevens full of Fives)

UTG shows T♣ Q♦ (Three of a Kind, Sevens)

MP wins 31.16 BB

This is the result in my EV chart: (its the habd from 302 to 303, last hand I played)

So I would assume that my Ev is like this:
Invested 13.33 BB
Expected return: 31.16 BB * 44% = 13.71 BB
So a positive Ev of 0.38 BB while the graph chows a negative Ev of 39.990 chips = 13.33 BB (my entire stack).
This should only be possible if we went all in while I`m drawing dead.

Or am I missing something?

Every time I get to a deep run I just start running like a trainwreck.
Was top 20 with 180 orso remaining and went out as 153.

Hands in order:
77 < A4o
A7s < KK (flop was 689 and he had less then pot behind)
JJ < ? had to fold after he called several streets and then donked all-in on A river
QQ < A10
1010 < Q10s
66 < JJ (guy was sitting out for last hour, shoved previous hand with J8o so assumed I was ahead of his range)
22 < A8s

and we are out of the tournament. I know complaining wont help, but man would love to stop running below Ev

playing much less tournaments at a time so I can think about every move.
Played 2 tournaments today:

Tournament 1: only one big hand played, rest were small pots

Yatahay Network - 500/1000 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 20.62 BB
Hero (BB): 11.9 BB
UTG: 143.08 BB
MP: 29.84 BB
CO: 74.78 BB
BTN: 6.49 BB

6 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.25 BB) Hero has J♣ J♦

fold, MP raises to 2 BB, fold, BTN calls 2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 11.77 BB and is all-in, MP raises to 29.72 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 4.36 BB and is all-in

Flop: (31.16 BB, 3 players) 8♠ 6♦ 3♣

Turn: (31.16 BB, 3 players) T♦

River: (31.16 BB, 3 players) A♦

Hero shows J♣ J♦ (One Pair, Jacks)

Main Pot [20.33 BB]: (Pre 46%, Flop 73%, Turn 79%)
Side Pot#1 [10.83 BB]: (Pre 54%, Flop 78%, Turn 88%)

MP shows Q♥ A♥ (One Pair, Aces)

Main Pot [20.33 BB]: (Pre 40%, Flop 21%, Turn 12%)
Side Pot#1 [10.83 BB]: (Pre 46%, Flop 22%, Turn 12%)

BTN shows J♠ Q♠ (High Card, Ace)

Main Pot [20.33 BB]: (Pre 14%, Flop 7%, Turn 10%)

MP wins 31.16 BB

Tournament 2: couple a steals early and then dry run till I picked up a position to shove

Yatahay Network - 375/750 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 22.03 BB
CO: 85.14 BB
BTN: 39.38 BB
SB: 44.82 BB
BB: 33.33 BB
UTG: 26.96 BB
Hero (UTG+1): 16.74 BB

7 players post ante of 0.12 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.34 BB) Hero has 5♣ 5♥

fold, Hero raises to 16.62 BB and is all-in, MP raises to 21.91 BB and is all-in, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (35.58 BB, 2 players) 2♣ Q♦ T♦

Turn: (35.58 BB, 2 players) J♠

River: (35.58 BB, 2 players) Q♠

MP shows 2♥ T♠ (Two Pair, Queens and Tens)
(Pre 30%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows 5♣ 5♥ (Two Pair, Queens and Fives)
(Pre 70%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
MP wins 35.58 BB

again small amount of tournaments. nothing ITM.

most hands are standard except few.

hand 1: placed this one in hand forum because I dont think I played it well

PokerStars - 70/140 Ante 21 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): 86.38 BB
BTN: 43.04 BB
SB: 68.16 BB
BB: 36.69 BB
UTG: 64.2 BB
UTG+1: 84.81 BB
MP: 23.49 BB

7 players post ante of 0.15 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.55 BB) Hero has K♦ K♠

UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 5.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 3.5 BB

Flop: (13.55 BB, 2 players) 8♣ T♣ T♠
UTG checks, Hero bets 9.04 BB, UTG calls 9.04 BB

Turn: (31.62 BB, 2 players) J♠
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: (31.62 BB, 2 players) 7♥
UTG bets 49 BB, Hero calls 49 BB

hans 2: just standard stuff
PokerStars - 250/500 Ante 80 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 19.5 BB
Hero (BB): 24.29 BB
UTG: 47.61 BB
UTG+1: 24.75 BB
MP: 33.47 BB
MP+1: 48.5 BB
CO: 9.07 BB
BTN: 84.6 BB

8 players post ante of 0.16 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.78 BB) Hero has K♣ K♥

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2 BB, SB calls 1.5 BB, Hero raises to 24.13 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 22.13 BB, fold

Flop: (51.54 BB, 2 players) J♦ 7♦ A♥

Turn: (51.54 BB, 2 players) 3♥

River: (51.54 BB, 2 players) 6♦

Hero shows K♣ K♥ (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 66%, Flop 5%, Turn 2%)
BTN shows K♠ A♠ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 34%, Flop 95%, Turn 98%)
BTN wins 51.54 BB

hand 3: just to show what kind of random hands these guy play.

PokerStars - 125/250 Ante 36 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (MP): 49.98 BB
MP+1: 65.02 BB
CO: 18.07 BB
BTN: 13 BB
SB: 18.42 BB
BB: 54.44 BB
UTG: 46.38 BB
UTG+1: 105.84 BB

8 players post ante of 0.14 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.65 BB) Hero has 8♠ 8♣

UTG calls 1 BB, fold, Hero calls 1 BB, fold, CO raises to 17.92 BB and is all-in, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 16.92 BB, fold

Flop: (39.5 BB, 2 players) 9♠ A♠ 2♦

Turn: (39.5 BB, 2 players) T♣

River: (39.5 BB, 2 players) K♥

UTG shows 5♥ 7♥ (High Card, Ace)
(Pre 38%, Flop 25%, Turn 14%)
CO shows J♥ Q♣ (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 62%, Flop 75%, Turn 86%)
CO wins 39.5 BB

I feel like I should make more positive posts, but I just keep running so damn bad.

I deposited an extra 50$ today to do the half price sunday million.
Was doing pretty well playing good till this hand:

Guy was playing lose agressive, already folded against a couple of reraises of him so now with flopped set I wanted to get the chips in the middle asap

PokerStars - 125/250 Ante 25 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 35.29 BB
Hero (SB): 49.7 BB
BB: 71.46 BB
UTG: 30.48 BB
UTG+1: 62.44 BB
MP: 34.56 BB
MP+1: 92.04 BB
MP+2: 5.64 BB
CO: 42.68 BB

9 players post ante of 0.1 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.4 BB) Hero has 6♣ 6♠

fold, UTG+1 raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 1.5 BB, BB calls 1 BB

Flop: (6.9 BB, 3 players) 3♣ J♦ 6♦
Hero bets 4.6 BB, fold, UTG+1 raises to 12.7 BB, Hero raises to 47.6 BB and is all-in, UTG+1 calls 34.9 BB

Turn: (102.09 BB, 2 players) 5♣

River: (102.09 BB, 2 players) K♥

Hero shows 6♣ 6♠ (Three of a Kind, Sixes)
(Pre 18%, Flop 4%, Turn 2%)
UTG+1 shows J♣ J♠ (Three of a Kind, Jacks)
(Pre 82%, Flop 96%, Turn 98%)
UTG+1 wins 102.09 BB

Tournament 2:

Near itm. no reads but hand speaks for itself

PokerStars - 350/700 Ante 110 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG+1: 18.9 BB
MP: 49.24 BB
MP+1: 6.67 BB
CO: 8.16 BB
BTN: 33.12 BB
SB: 53.74 BB
Hero (BB): 26.46 BB
UTG: 44.65 BB

8 players post ante of 0.16 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.76 BB) Hero has 8♠ 9♥

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls 1 BB, fold, Hero checks

Flop: (3.76 BB, 2 players) T♠ 9♦ 8♦
Hero bets 2.5 BB, BTN raises to 31.96 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 22.8 BB and is all-in

Turn: (54.36 BB, 2 players) K♦

River: (54.36 BB, 2 players) 6♣

Hero shows 8♠ 9♥ (Two Pair, Nines and Eights)
(Pre 18%, Flop 71%, Turn 0%)
BTN shows K♠ K♣ (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 82%, Flop 29%, Turn 100%)
BTN wins 54.36 BB

In an effort to try and find where I`m going wrong I did some analysis om my tournaments.
Any and all input is welcome.

First some global numbers.
Total hands played: 12355
Analysed hands with pots of +10k chips
Only hands that went to showdown are included.

Over these hands I had a BB won of -186.38 BB and a all-in Adj BB of +390.98 BB.
Statds: VPIP :15.44 / PFR:10.00 / 3Bet: 5.02 / call 3Bet: 11.06 (if anyone would like to see some specific stat, just let me know)

My VPIP range:
Dont see anything to out of the ordinary here

Some explenation about the numbers below.
Most hands were played with preflop all-in, which isnt so weird considering in tournaments the blinds do go up a lot
The split between lost en won doesnt need explanation.
Then I have made 3 options: was it a coinflip, did I dominate positively of negatively (also fairly self explanatory)
Lastly I made a division between Good en Bad. This is how the hand was played (on my part).

For example if I shove from the button with KK for 15BB and the SB wakes up with AA. Then my hand is dominated in a neg way, but I made the correct play.
So this would be under: preflop all-in, Dom neg and Good.

Some conclusions:
Was actually better then I thought. Most hands are played decently, even when looking back at them now.
There were some hands I do think I overplayed, mostly low Ax hands. Where I defend from blinds against raise and walk into higher Ax hands.
So thats something I`m going to look at.

Besides that, the starting hands I lost most with are pocket 66 en pocket 77, but both are because of set versus set hands where I stack off.
So not much I can do with that. Overall I do run below EV but maybe not as much as I expected.

The most interesting things are the hands I played badly because they were really bad.
Maybe they are those moments when I tend to tilt, because I`m stacking off with A6s for 40BB preflop or reraise an UTG raise with 33 and call the stack off.
Ok it arent much hands, but they are preventable. So guess I`ll start by paying more attention to those.

If anyone had other remarks or insights, feel free to share them.

Originally posted by Anraxas
The most interesting things are the hands I played badly because they were really bad.
Maybe they are those moments when I tend to tilt, because I`m stacking off with A6s for 40BB preflop or reraise an UTG raise with 33 and call the stack off.
Ok it arent much hands, but they are preventable. So guess I`ll start by paying more attention to those.

If anyone had other remarks or insights, feel free to share them.

I sometimes look back on a hand and cannot figure out why did what I did.

Some might be mis-clicks, or misreading the table -- for example a few days ago I made what I thought was a 3Bet, but I was 4Betting, since the player before me was min 3Betting a minraise.

If I ran across that hand a month from now, I would not remember the circumstances.

All the best,
VS