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AA on BTN vs SB and BB, SRP, passive nit donks turn

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Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

SB is 24/24, 37 hands

BB is 20/2/af0.9/3B:5/ATTSTL:0, 50 hands

PokerStars - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 105.17 BB
SB: 107.1 BB
BB: 126.11 BB
UTG: 131.24 BB
MP: 100 BB
CO: 202.4 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♥ A♠

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, SB calls 1.5 BB, BB calls 1 BB

Flop: (6 BB, 3 players) K♠ 5♣ 7♠
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets 2.5 BB, SB calls 2.5 BB, BB calls 2.5 BB

Turn: (13.5 BB, 3 players) 6♣
SB checks, BB bets 12.82 BB, fold, Hero ? ?

It feels like a fold vs the passive nit on turn, no?

1. I could be drawing dead on turn.
2. Do I need the board to pair on river, if so which card?

Thoughts?


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

With a passive villain in this hand I wouldn't mind to Cbet around 4bb on the flop for value and protection.

You could be drawing dead sometimes on the turn, but tough to fold a over pair against a big donk bet. Only with decent reads I would fold the turn.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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EmiyaKiritsugu
Joined: 13.08.2013

20 vpip, 50 hands = He participated in 10 hands, and lets say in 8 he saw postflop. Its not even close enough to make any hardcore assumptions. Maybe he decided to donk with something like KQ as he doesnt want to give you free card on board with so many draws? If river is brick and he is not overbetting then I'm calling.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

PFR of 2 is extremely low in 50 hands. That's pretty obviously a sign of a loose passive player with a reasonable VPIP of 20bb. Villain almost never raised when he/she played a hand.


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EmiyaKiritsugu
Joined: 13.08.2013

He can be loose preflop but we dont know anything about postflop. There are a lot recreationals passive preflop and aggro postflop.


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Vampiir142
Joined: 01.10.2017

Just continue with hand.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Originally posted by EmiyaKiritsugu
He can be loose preflop but we dont know anything about postflop. There are a lot recreationals passive preflop and aggro postflop.

Aggression factor is only 0,9. That's low as well. Offcourse villains hand sample is low.


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anduke
Joined: 26.11.2007

As said, the sample size is not enough to make assumptions to fold the turn.


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EnriqueBunbury
Joined: 20.05.2010

Originally posted by SDK1987
With a passive villain in this hand I wouldn't mind to Cbet around 4bb on the flop for value and protection.

You could be drawing dead sometimes on the turn, but tough to fold a over pair against a big donk bet. Only with decent reads I would fold the turn.

Cheers,
SDK1987

If we call the turn, what would be the plan on the river?


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It depends how villain will continue and what kind of river card we dealing with.


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rap1dw1n3r
Joined: 06.02.2009

I would call turn and reevaluate river, on a brick probably calling normal sized bets, pot size and bigger would fold


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