Bad luck or playing bad?

av389

Joined: 01.02.2021

29.08.2022, 09:14 0

For the past 4k hand my profit has gone down quite a bit, and I am not sure whether it's because I was previously lucky and I am just playing badly, or whether I've just recently been really unlucky (went from about $45 to $12). I will be showing my 4 biggest losses during this downswing, and it would be much appreciated if someone could tell me whether it's because I'm unlucky or not playing well.

1.
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

Hero (BTN): 172.5 BB
SB: 171.5 BB
BB: 102.5 BB
UTG: 124 BB
MP: 197.5 BB
CO: 156.5 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♠ K♠

fold, MP raises to 2.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 2.5 BB, SB raises to 11 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 8.5 BB

Flop: (25.5 BB, 2 players) 6♣ 2♥ K♥
SB bets 20.5 BB, Hero calls 20.5 BB

Turn: (66.5 BB, 2 players) 9♠
SB bets 37 BB, Hero calls 37 BB

River: (140.5 BB, 2 players) K♣
SB bets 103 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 103 BB

SB shows A♥ K♦ (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 70%, Flop 88%, Turn 93%)
Hero shows Q♠ K♠ (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 30%, Flop 12%, Turn 7%)
SB wins 331.5 BB

2.
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

BTN: 101.5 BB
Hero (SB): 142 BB
BB: 146.5 BB
UTG: 90 BB
MP: 103 BB
CO: 255.5 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♦ A♠

fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, CO raises to 26 BB, Hero raises to 80 BB, CO calls 54 BB

Flop: (161 BB, 2 players) K♠ 4♥ 6♥
Hero bets 62 BB and is all-in, CO calls 62 BB

Turn: (285 BB, 2 players) 5♠

River: (285 BB, 2 players) 8♦

Hero shows A♦ A♠ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 82%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
CO shows K♦ K♣ (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 18%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
CO wins 275 BB

3.
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

BTN: 229.5 BB
SB: 53 BB
Hero (BB): 141 BB
UTG: 198.5 BB
MP: 52 BB
CO: 111 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♣ A♦

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, fold, Hero raises to 7.5 BB, BTN calls 5 BB

Flop: (15.5 BB, 2 players) 5♥ J♦ 8♠
Hero bets 8 BB, BTN calls 8 BB

Turn: (31.5 BB, 2 players) A♥
Hero bets 13 BB, BTN raises to 30 BB, Hero calls 17 BB

River: (91.5 BB, 2 players) 7♠
Hero checks, BTN bets 117 BB, Hero calls 95.5 BB and is all-in

BTN shows J♠ J♣ (Three of a Kind, Jacks)
(Pre 57%, Flop 97%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows Q♣ A♦ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 43%, Flop 3%, Turn 0%)
BTN wins 272.5 BB

4.
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

BTN: 94.5 BB
SB: 205 BB
BB: 36 BB
UTG: 111 BB
MP: 103.5 BB
Hero (CO): 251.5 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♣ K♦

fold, MP raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 7.5 BB, fold, SB calls 7 BB, fold, MP calls 5 BB

Flop: (23.5 BB, 3 players) 8♠ 9♥ 5♠
SB checks, MP checks, Hero bets 11.5 BB, SB calls 11.5 BB, MP raises to 49 BB, Hero raises to 244 BB and is all-in, fold, MP calls 47 BB and is all-in

Turn: (227 BB, 2 players) 6♠

River: (227 BB, 2 players) A♠

MP shows 8♣ 8♥ (Three of a Kind, Eights)
(Pre 19%, Flop 90%, Turn 91%)
Hero shows K♣ K♦ (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 81%, Flop 10%, Turn 9%)
MP wins 219 BB

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4 replies

SDK1987

Moderator

Joined: 12.11.2008

Posts: 43,850

29.08.2022, 14:13 0

Try to post 1 hand per thread. That makes it easier to discuss about it.

First hand is a cooler I think against a unknown on NL2. I wouldn't be surprised if villian will play weaker trips the same way as well.

2nd hand I would 5bet shove and the rest is standard as played.

3th hand is villain depended, but with 1 pair I would consider folding the turn, but if you call you need to fold the river for sure. Most players doesn't change top pair in to a bluff I think on NL2.

4th hand I would most likely fold to the check/raise. Especially multi way it's less likely villian will bluff like this and decent chance you are facing a set.

Cheers,
SDK1987

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Vampiir142

Joined: 01.10.2017

Posts: 261

14.09.2022, 16:46 0

1) looks like he had AA, AK - so sometimes it happend you have top pair but the secon kicker.
2) again - sometime it happend you loose vs "worst" pair - you can go AI preflop, same like you did postflop - he could still call you with KK
3) I would fold on the river
4) same like before

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NapoleonBonaparte135

Joined: 26.03.2022

Posts: 587

14.09.2022, 18:32 0

1) Fold pre, postflop is fine
2) Pretty standard hand
3) As played call turn is okay but i would fold river
4) Fold on the flop on such draw heavy. V's squeeze show a lot of strenght.

So... You seem like undisciplined spewy fish who falls inlove with his hands way too much and dont know where fold button is.

$45 to $12

This is a lot for nl2.16,5 stacks. This is more than being unlucky. You are doing it wrong. My advice is to start learn more about the game and raise your discipline. Dont be lazy. Good luck

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bumblebtuna

Joined: 14.08.2022

Posts: 31

14.09.2022, 20:33 0

Hands one and two are fine, the other two are bad plays. Imo in those last two hands you are responding to the aggression appropriately. Work on basic hand reading and remember at the micros players are generally too passive so when they raise its usually because they have nut type hands.

If you don't already know, perhaps do some study on the different player types and how to respond to each one. For example if these are all villains who standard passive regs at these stakes both those last two hands are easy fold, but if they are bad aggro players we have more justification to continue

So in summary
1. Categorizing the players at the table by player type
2. Hand reading
3. Over valuing your hand

PS I wouldn't say 4k hands is anyway near enough to say you are running bad. 4K hands is roughly 10 hours of 4-tabling that's like a couple of day's grind! So I would say this is more due to leaks in your game

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