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My first 500 spins

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vikcch
Joined: 15.10.2009

I just finish my first 500 spins, all flash of 1€ buy-ins... not to lucky on the "spin factor", only 1 of 10€, 3 bellow the expected of 5€ and 10 bellow the expected of 3€... resulting in 16 of 2€ more than expected...

This is the chart. I started really well, but got disappointed afterwards, the first 160 was amazing, I tought I was gifted or something... than the reality hits... not sure how many more i will play.

My profits here above the rake paiyed until today....

The sample could not be enough, but looks like the 2x spins are easy, like people dont care as much and gamble more.

Those screeshots are from Spin Equity Software: https://spinequity.winningpokerhud.com/

Any thoughts are appreciated.
Thanks


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4 replies
ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Not sure about what sort of roi numbers are thought as solid in spin&go but I think 6.2% is something that is not maintainable in mid/high stake games. That of course doesnt mean it would not be in micro stake even without that solid strategy. 500 is very small sample though for variance heavy format like spins so I would not worry about it.

Its obvious your run started with really big heater and this kind of start will easily make one feel like money just floods in from windows and game is easy. Every poker player will get these and also runs where things dont go your way at all. Plus everything in between. So its not about short term result but about making good decisions consistently enough and improving your strategy.


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vikcch
Joined: 15.10.2009

Thanks for replying.

How many spins do you think that is a enough sample to be sure that a player is profitable? Also I play the "flash" ones, it's a minute for each blind level.


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Well few thousand at least.


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nsavov
Joined: 24.09.2010

If every spin start with the same amount of chips (300 I assume) and it's mostly winner takes all, it's more adequate to measure your success by looking at your chip EV.

In stars, 10x + multis have ICM, so just filter the 2x to 5x multis only.


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