Villain was playing 35/35 over 20 or so hands (all the makings of a lag), I saw him showdown one hand in a 3bet pot, played aggro with bottom pair, rr flop bet turn half pot and checked river, A7o on Q7Jxx. I make assumptions, based on how often I play against opponents that are similar. Vs this type of villain I don't take stabs automatically on the flop when they check (they love to check raise paird boards), on this flop, I don't expect a K to slow play (FD and GS are out there) and from how aggro he played bottom pair I expect him to do the same with a 9 or a pp, this type of V also plays draws aggro. Villains traps will be KK or K9 or 99 occasionally Kx and AA. The turn is a brick, if V had a hand like A5 or 56 he would start betting now and villains 55 would bet the flop, I don't expect V to sit on a hand like Kx or AA now, 99 and KK and K9 might start betting now or might not. Should I start betting now? I think the only range that V would fold is Ax that missed the flop and missed the flop check raise. I went for the bigger size to pressure AT, AJ, AQ, do you think I bet to big? And on the river when the flush gets there, I don't think V has a flush, he would have bet that from the start. I don't think I get get this V to fold a A to a half pot bet (even with the flush completing) but I think he will fold to a shove. Any thoughts? Did I donk this one up? PS I wasn't tilted during play.
GG Poker - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BB: $1.30 (65 bb)
UTG: $2.64 (132 bb)
MP: $2.00 (100 bb)
CO: $2.44 (122 bb)
Hero (BTN): $2.62 (131 bb)
SB: $2.00 (100 bb)
SB posts $0.01, BB posts $0.02
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has T♦: Q♦:
UTG calls $0.02, MP raises to $0.10, fold, Hero calls $0.10, 3 folds
Flop: ($0.25, 2 players) K♥: K♦: 9♥:
MP checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($0.25, 2 players) 5♣:
MP checks, Hero bets $0.22, MP calls $0.22
River: ($0.69, 2 players) 6♥:
MP checks, Hero bets $2.30 and is all-in, Villain???
Spoiler
MP checks, Hero bets $2.30 and is all-in, folds - bitch