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PLO25 QQ53ss, turn set into bluff?

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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

No reads really. CO had done pot size raise versus me two times earlier in different sort of flops and I had folded.

So yeah usually this flop raise is very heavily toward straight or combo hand. When villain check turn nut flush is unlikely and I started to wonder if I should turn my hand into bluff or if it has too much showdown value?

Game #1827741459: Table €25 PL - 0.10/0.25 - Pot Limit Omaha - 15:39:50 2023/02/16
Seated players
Seat 1: Reinasa (€59.60)
Seat 2: KrokoLoko4 (€31.27)
Seat 3: Jimsans (€78.50)
Seat 5: JetSet3 (€24.15)
Seat 6: elip (€24.40)
Blinds and button
JetSet3 has the button
elip posts small blind €0.10
Reinasa posts big blind €0.25
Hole cards
Dealt to Reinasa 3♠:Q♠:Q♥:5♣:
Preflop
KrokoLoko4 folds
Jimsans calls €0.25
JetSet3 folds
elip raises €0.65 to €0.75
Reinasa calls €0.50
Jimsans calls €0.50
Flop 8♣:9♥:Q♣: (2.25€)
elip checks
Reinasa bets €1.12
Jimsans raises €5.61 to €5.61
elip folds
Reinasa calls €4.49
Turn 7♣: (13.47€)
Reinasa checks
Jimsans checks
River K♦: (13.47€)
Reinasa?


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VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

One club blocker
no straight blockers (unless you count the 5)

Options:
:diamond:  bet/fold (recommended usually, but this is Omaha, so ???)
:diamond:  check/call
:diamond: check/fold

The check OTT is suspicious, so I think I would check, and call if opponent bets half pot or less, fold otherwise


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Mascherano95
Joined: 09.10.2010

@VorpalF2F I don´t think check-fold the flop is an option, top-set has too much value.

:Jx::Tx: is such a frequently played hand and with 3 players otf I don´t think this is a pure bluff.
Maybe stacked blockers like A♣::Jx::Jx:.. but that is barely enough to make a stand on bad future shifts.

In river scenarios quality of our SDV is not as important as the framework and the qualities of our blockers to check-call or bet. We rarely bet if we have SDV and the 5♣: is not that valueable. With the flush on the board we should have enough hands in our flop calling+turn checking range to defend a lot of hands otr so I don´t see any point in investing more money if we have no flush nor nutblocker. You might check-call a bet if you are sure villain is maniacal but with thin history I think check-folding is standard here.


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VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by Mascherano95
@VorpalF2F I don´t think check-fold the flop is an option, top-set has too much value.

Probably why I don't play Omaha Hi :coolface:
Sets and straights on boards with made flushes kill me, so I tend to be overcautious in those spots.


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Mascherano95
Joined: 09.10.2010

Yeah we should continue cautiously but if it is just a flushdraw we have to invest 1 bet at least. It can be correct to fold a set on the turn though. Also top-set usually has clean outs to a "nuts" fullhouse guarantueed.


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Yeah 5♣: can be too weak of blocker. But reason I turned my hand into bluff on river is that QQ is actually close to bottom of my range. I will have of course some blocker type hands betting flop but I would fold those to pot raise always. So when I continue versus raise my range contain:

- Straights (I dont 3bet many of these being so deep)
- Top set (this combo might actually be bit weak to bet flop having no straight blocker or side equity)
- Weaker sets with strong support (mainly flush draw)
- Some top two with support like KQJ9 likely with one club or bd fd.

So when turn complete flush lot of my continuation range will improve. Also I think some of those KQJ9 type with club blocker can work better as bluff catcher as we also block straight making it bit more likely villain needs to bluff river.


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nsavov
Joined: 24.09.2010

This is the exact spot where opponent hero calls you with 99JJ and has to rethink his whole existence.


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ZakYoun270
Joined: 10.12.2015

I'd probably check the flop. since this board tends to hit CO's range harder than ours.


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Mascherano95
Joined: 09.10.2010

Originally posted by nsavov
This is the exact spot where opponent hero calls you with 99JJ and has to rethink his whole existence.

lol


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efkay
Joined: 25.03.2005

I dont like the flop lead without NFB or straightblocker. -> x/c flop.

as played I see why hero is turning this hand into a bluff but overall when villain checks back OTT I see him calling down/pot controlling fairly often

so overall a x/call flop, giveup rest is way cheaper imo


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