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99 River overplayed?

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Realgeist
Joined: 21.10.2008

Hello,

my thought was that he has most likely AK, AQ which will call here. If i bet small on the river and he raises I'm pot comitted anyway.
How do you see that?

GGPoker, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Pokeit

UTG: $2.46 (123 bb)
MP: $1.90 (95 bb)
CO: $13.94 (697 bb)
BU: $2.02 (101 bb)
SB: $3.28 (164 bb)
BB (Hero): $2.00 (100 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BB with 9♣ 9♦
UTG raises to $0.04, 4 players fold, Hero calls $0.02

Flop: ($0.09) 9♥ A♦ 8♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.05, Hero calls $0.05

Turn: ($0.19) 3♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.10, Hero raises to $0.49, UTG calls $0.39

River: ($1.17) 7♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $1.42 (all-in), UTG calls $1.42

Total pot: $4.01 (Rake: $0.09)

Spoiler

Showdown:
BB (Hero) shows 9♣ 9♦ (three of a kind, Nines)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 51%, Flop: 72%, Turn: 82%, River: 0%)

UTG shows J♥ T♥ (a straight, Seven to Jack)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 49%, Flop: 28%, Turn: 18%, River: 100%)

UTG wins $3.92


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5 replies
Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

You can still bet 40c on the river, but than I would call a shove as well.
It's hard to give villain credit for a straight or higher set.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Gomez224
Joined: 24.03.2008

how you can overplay set nice play he could have AK, AQ


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kacsa1st
Joined: 09.02.2007

Hi!

There's nothing to see here, well played!

Just my 2 cents:
U could raise a bit bigger on the turn just to avoid overbetting on the river.

I do not like the small bet on the river. Willain will never bluffraise nor raise for value weaker hands like AK, AQ or 2 pairs but he can call some of them for shove.
I doubt he will call way wider cos of our small bet so i think it is losing value.


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Realgeist
Joined: 21.10.2008

Thx for the feedback :)


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EmiyaKiritsugu
Joined: 13.08.2013

You have set, board is not flushed or 4 to straight = we play for stacks. Simple and profitable. Its not your problem what he has. If he is always folding then you can just add a lot of bluffs to that line.


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