28/01/08 & 31/01/08
Here's an epic coaching review covering both weeks, also the final "official" coaching review. Prepare for some awesomeness and an at least semi-correct explanation of what situations you can raise for value with your draws!
Below is an epic hand in the perfect situation which occured in my coaching, although our draw didn't arrive we saved ourselves plenty o' $$$ by playing it this way! It's also an introduction to the concept of equity.
0.25/0.50 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.9 by www.pokerstrategy.com.
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 7♠, 6♠
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, MP1 calls, Hero calls, 3 folds, SB calls, BB checks.
For suited connectors you need 1:3 preflop, after 3 limpers this is a suuuuuper mega instacall! Suited connectors are good. They are good because if we dont hit a draw on the flop or 2-pair it is generally easy to let go of the hand and not get caught up in situations where we can't fold but are often paying off a better hand, in other words they're highly "playable".
Flop: (6.00 SB) T♠, A♦, K♠ (6 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 bets, UTG+2 calls, MP1 calls, Hero raises, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, MP1 calls.
We have a strong draw on this flop although there are better flush draws possible, the times when noone else is dominating us with 2 better spades we have an easy raise for value. Why?
Equity!
Equity is our share of the pot in %, in other words it's how often, in %, we will win the showdown. If our equity of is greater than our fair share of the pot we should raise. What do I mean by this?
In a heads up game there are 2 players so each player's fair share is 50% of each pot, 3 way each player's fair share is 33%, 4 way 25% etc.
The reason why we raise with our strong made hands, because our equity is greater than our share of the pot thus it makes our raises EV+.
I'm going to use Equilator which calculates how much equity we have in a given situation depending on opponents possible holdings and our cards.
It's hard to tell how often our flush draw will be good against 3 other players so I'm going to assume that noone is ever holding a better flush draw to simplify the example!
Let's say UTG+1 has A8s, UTG+1 has Q9o, and MP1 has K8s. There will be a similar lineup to these hands a lot of the time, so let's see what equilator says.
Board: Ad Ks Ts
Dead:
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 55.248 % 55.052 % 0.781 % 44.166 % A8s
Player 2: 12.380 % 12.184 % 0.781 % 87.034 % Q9o
Player 3: 8.942 % 8.747 % 0.781 % 90.472 % K8s
Player 4: 23.430 % 23.235 % 0.781 % 75.984 % 7s6s
Interestingly with 76 of spades we have 24% equity on the flop which is slightly less than our fair share (which would be 25%) but if I change our hand to 78 or 89 it goes up to 35%+ because of the specific kickers I gave our opponents, i.e. if we have 8 and 9 of spades they can't possibly be holding better flush draws cause they're A8 Q9 and K8 so the situation is going to vary a lot.
I think generally we're going to have at least our fair share of equity on average against 3 other opponents which pushes us towards a raise purely for value.
Ok, let's review our current position and the options presented to us, we can raise or call.
Argument for Calling:
Some might say if we call there's a higher chance that SB or BB call thus yielding us 1 or sometimes 2 extra SB in the pot, however I don't think this is really the case. An average fish at these limits isn't letting go of top pair or sometimes even a gutshot or K/T because he or she is confronted with 2 small bets to call and is likely to call anyway if they have a hand worthy of calling for 1 SB.
This is a poor option in this situation because even in the best case scenario you only get 2 extra SB into the pot (plus 2 extra players to suck out on you somehow).
Argument for Raising
Our equity favours a raise thus we can raise purely for value.
Also we are in position which means if they call our raise and check the turn to us we can take a free card thus paying 2 SB on the flop to see the river instead of 1 SB on the flop (just calling) then 1 BB on the turn, thus 3 SB in total to see a river, saving a smallbet overall and bloating the pot so we win more when our spade turn/river does arrive!
The 3 players before us will nearly always call, yielding 3 extra SB into the pot from this move and sometimes the other 2 will call the 2 SBs cold giving us major $$ in the event we do hit our flush draw.
Thus this situation speaks for a raise in every respect. I'd call if this was less multiway with fewer players in the pot and we weren't in position.
Turn: (7.00 BB) 3♣ (4 players)
UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, MP1 checks, Hero checks.
Super blank card here, on a spade we will be betting for value but our plan is to check behind on the turn unimproved and see a free river.
River: (7.00 BB) J♦ (4 players)
UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 bets, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls.
Unfortunately no spade comes along but we played it as perfectly as possible. We got in the money while we had the equity edge and got i 0$ while behind, we played dictionary definition perfect poker.
Final Pot: 9.00 BB
In review here are some factors to consider when deciding to raise your flush draw:
-How many players are in the pot, the more the better (especially with the nut flush)
-How is your position? Not that you just have the button but if there was a preflop raiser are there many players between you two, i.e. the best situation is if the PFR is first to act then 4 players call inbetween it's super awesome for you cause if he isn't willing to 3-bet then you get an extra 4-5 SB. Tying in to this is can you take a free card?
An example of a worse position would be the PFR being first to act, then yourself then 2 people which is going to suck a lot more for you because the players after you will be less willing to call 2 SB.
-How strong is your draw? 76s is mid strength on this board, 87 and 98 are a lot stronger as many less combinations of hands have better flush draws possible.
This is pretty much a rehash of the raising draws for value article here but I thought I'd analyse a single hand on the topic just to let you guys know that you can get a lot more value out of these situations than if you play the normal passive line.