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PLO50 8866ds 3bet pot, turn flush into bluff?

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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

So I found this spot kinda interesting. Opponent is more of fishy reg type. Playes too wide pre and tends to hero call too much post which could be issue.

Preflop is clear 3bet with ds combo. SS I would not mind either way. Flop decided to check as this is one of lowest flushes we can have. So I think its more reasonable to approach with check. I would also check fair amount of AA in general especially without heart and having stuff around 97. Not that happy to see villain betting big on flop but obviously calling.

Turn he goes half pot which will leave half for river. I think theory wise this is spot where we wont fold any flushes on turn. Definitely not folding these as we have two nut outs as well. But I wasnt feel very optimistic on this guy having enough bluffs to call down river.

But river throws one more curve ball as it pairs the board. I were thinking this could be reasonable spot to bluff lead shove as what bluffs do you really ecpect to see from 3bettor here? Now this guy might not be ideal target but on other hand it really screams AA... Also I thought this is kinda bottom of my range hand at this point. Theory wise we probably could have some AQJ9 with heart blocker but those are very rare at least in my range here.

So x-f or lead shove as bluff?

Game #2307130492: Table €50 PL - 0.25/0.50 - Pot Limit Omaha - 16:50:31 2025/09/29
Seated players
Seat 1: TRANS__P0WER (€59.62)
Seat 2: ViejoLoco (€51.80) (sitting out)
Seat 3: k_haukkau (€80.14)
Seat 4: k_haukka (€55.41)
Seat 5: Ynera (€59.61)
Seat 6: zyrustine (€50)
Blinds and button
k_haukkau has the button
k_haukka posts small blind €0.25
Ynera posts big blind €0.50
Hole cards
Dealt to Ynera 8♠:6♠:6♥:8♥:
Preflop
zyrustine folds
TRANS__P0WER raises €1.75 to €1.75
k_haukkau folds
k_haukka folds
Ynera raises €5 to €5.50
TRANS__P0WER calls €3.75
Flop 9♥:7♥:A♥: (11.25€)
Ynera checks
TRANS__P0WER bets €8.44
Ynera calls €8.44
Turn T♠: (28.13€)
Ynera checks
TRANS__P0WER bets €15
Ynera calls €15
River T♣: (58.13€)
Ynera?


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VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by ghaleon
So I found this spot kinda interesting. Opponent is more of fishy reg type. Playes too wide pre and tends to hero call too much post which could be issue.

Does it apply to Omaha the saying, "don't try to bluff a calling station"?
So the two questions are:
:diamond:  What worse will call?
:diamond:  What better will fold?

What that SPR will anything fold?


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

The thing in omaha kinda is that when facing 3bets AA is decently sizable part of the 3bet range. Then question is does postflop line match to AA or some other boat combos. Well on monotone flop we are not thrilled with AA in general and check or small cbet are fine. Then we ask what hands make most sense that could x-c flop and turn. Well sets and flushes are two clearly biggest category.

So on river moat of my range is either flush or boat and especially AA is very well represented. Well I did shove river, opponent gave puke emoji and folded In the end. So I think he had better flush but yeah it's interesting spot to turn bottom of range into bluff even if that bottom is mainly flush. Any opinions are welcome on this.


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blinderGeiger
Joined: 07.05.2023

Solver is potting the river 88% and gets called only 18%! Almost all small flushes are bluffed. (althought the flop stab is much smaller, so it is not a perfect fit to the actual situation).
But still it is a good play imo from a theoretical AND practical standpoint. Even the fishiest reg at PLO50 should recognize how bad this river is


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Yeah that sounds kinda reasonable. Opponent dont have much incentive to be betting sets on earlier street with A high board so he will lack boats quite a bit. Probably has to call most flushes with A blocker.


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