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Why XR with Qh FD?

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CZENG
Joined: 21.01.2026

Poker Hand #RC792361572: Omaha Pot Limit ($0.1/$0.25) - 2026/01/29 20:40:04
Table 'RushAndCash4952454' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: e76acf8e ($291.04 in chips)
Seat 2: d88cbada ($52.78 in chips)
Seat 3: cceee794 ($28.08 in chips)
Seat 4: b6f4d7c8 ($25.13 in chips)
Seat 5: Hero ($27.17 in chips)
Seat 6: 78271755 ($41.84 in chips)
d88cbada: posts small blind $0.1
cceee794: posts big blind $0.25
HOLE CARDS
Dealt to e76acf8e
Dealt to d88cbada
Dealt to cceee794
Dealt to b6f4d7c8
Dealt to Hero [7h Ts Qh Jd]
Dealt to 78271755
b6f4d7c8: folds
Hero: raises $0.6 to $0.85
78271755: calls $0.85
e76acf8e: folds
d88cbada: folds
cceee794: folds
FLOP [Kh 9h 4c]
Hero: checks
78271755: bets $1.6
Hero: calls $1.6
TURN [Kh 9h 4c] [6c]
Hero: checks
78271755: bets $5.25
Hero: calls $5.25
RIVER [Kh 9h 4c 6c] [9d]
Hero: checks
78271755: bets $15.75
Hero: folds
Uncalled bet ($15.75) returned to 78271755
SHOWDOWN
78271755 collected $14.63 from pot
SUMMARY
Total pot $15.75 | Rake $0.75 | Jackpot $0.37 | Bingo $0 | Fortune $0 | Tax $0
Board [Kh 9h 4c 6c 9d]
Seat 1: e76acf8e (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: d88cbada (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: cceee794 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: b6f4d7c8 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Hero folded on the River
Seat 6: 78271755 won ($14.63)

Hi, new to PLO. I was surprised to plug this into the flophero solver and find this Q high wrap XR. Is this a spot where we XR OoP if we have approx 50% equity or more against his range and don't want to get outplayed on later streets?

Against a naked 2p+ range we have 48%, and if we also add ((A,K):(QJ,QT,JT):AhXh) we're doing pretty good still 47%

How would you think about this spot?


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3 replies
Coach
Kyyberi
Joined: 09.07.2010

Solver doesn't understand nor include outplaying. In a sim every player plays every spot perfectly, with perfect balance. Solver wants to check-raise certain amount of hands in this spot, and that range has to have perfect amount of valuehands and semibluffs. The problem with solver strategy is that if opponent doesn't play perfectly, the optimal strategy against him would not be solver's strategy. So our goal is never to mimic solver, but for an example to look for ways how solver builds balance to it's ranges.

PLO is such a large game, that with postflop solver sims the consensus is that you need to simulate each postflop spot separately. If you run a preflop sim, it will calculate all the possible postflop scenarios based on your parameters. But to make it possible, it puts different hand combinations and board categories to buckets. Without those the calculations would exponentially explode and no computer could do the calculations. Therefore the preflop sim is quite accurate, but flop situations are simplified for the sim and not accurate. Once you go to turn, it gets even more inaccurate.

I don't know how Flophero has tackled this probelm (or have they), I am hoping I can investigate it and discuss with them in near future. It might be that they are using bucketed sim or something else.

Back to this spot, and let's put the solver way for a while.

We want to check-raise our sets and strong made hands here for value. If we only raise them, and opponent spots it and makes a note "raises only for value", he can exploit that easily. So we want to have something else in our check-raise range. Once opponent knows we raise more than just sets, we will get value more often for the sets when we raise them. It doesn't make sense to raise as a pure bluff here, so the natural way to expand our raise range is to put strong combo draws in it. We have good equity, but we need to hit something to win the showdown. When we raise, opponent can fold so we gain fold equity. When we combine that with our real equity, we can estimate if the situation is favorable (+EV) to make that raise.

There are also situations where we don't want to raise this hand at all: if opponent is calling station, and we don't have that fold equity. Or opponent bets only the nuts.

There are also situations where we raise more with our semibluffs: if opponent is very aggressive, but doesn't continue with crappy hands when facing aggression. Therefore we have more fold equity than normally.


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CZENG
Joined: 21.01.2026

Ahh thanks you explained it really well.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It's I think also smart to read our https://forums.pokerstrategy.com/forum/thread.php?threadid=267242 thread. It's easier if you use hand converter and than you and is easier to read.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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