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Straight on the flop

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sinbad9
Joined: 22.05.2012

Hi community,
I would like your opinion on this hand where, as per the title, I flopped straight.
Oppo unknown to me it seemed clear that he was chasing the flush, do you think I was wrong to fold on the river?

iPoker - €0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 91.6 BB
SB: 215 BB (VPIP: 85.71, PFR: 42.86, 3Bet Preflop: 100.00, Hands: 8)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 71.43, PFR: 42.86, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 7)
CO: 40 BB (VPIP: 67.74, PFR: 3.23, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 31)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, CO posts penalty blind 1.4 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.8 BB) Hero has A♠ J♣

CO checks, Hero raises to 4 BB, SB calls 3.6 BB, BB calls 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB

Flop: (16.4 BB, 4 players) K♣ T♥ Q♣
SB checks, BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets 8.2 BB, SB calls 8.2 BB, BB calls 8.2 BB, CO calls 8.2 BB

Turn: (49.2 BB, 4 players) 3♥
SB checks, BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets 36.8 BB, SB calls 36.8 BB, fold, fold

River: (122.8 BB, 2 players) A♥
SB bets 166 BB, fold

SB wins 114.8 BB


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4 replies
Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

On the turn you have 88% equity:

Board: K♣T♥Q♣ 3♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
BU     88.79%  83.17%   5.62% { AsJc }
SB     11.21%   5.59%   5.62% { 88+, A8s+, KQs, QhJh, JhTh, Th9h, 9h8h, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }

Even with the heart on the river you're still ahead of the range I gave the opponent.

Board: K♣T♥Q♣ 3♥ A♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
BU     82.47%  68.04%  14.43% { AsJc }
SB     17.53%   3.09%  14.43% { 88+, A8s+, KQs, QhJh, JhTh, Th9h, 9h8h, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }

The big variable is: What is SB's range in this hand?
:diamond:  He has to call a 4BB raise out of position
:diamond:  He has to call a 1//2 pot bet on the flop, and a 3/4 pot bet on the turn.

I messed around a bunch and give opponent a very heart-heavy range and you're still ahead.

Board: K♣T♥Q♣ 3♥ A♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
BU     83.33%  78.79%   4.55% { AsJc }
SB     16.67%  12.12%   4.55% { TT+, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, QhJh, AhTh, KhTh, QhTh, JhTh, Ah9h, Th9h, Ah8h, 9h8h, AQo+, KQo }

Still, if you gut says "fold" then fold without a backward glance.


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turkeyjerky
Joined: 12.02.2026

I'd bet bigger OTF, maybe 75%+, vs this lineup of whales, expecting to get called by all the pair+OESD's, FD's, two pair, etc. If we get more than one call we can maybe even shove OTT which would be awesome. I would fold the river also. Most? fish will not shove the river with a straight here, given the possible flush.


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YXKCOBRA
Joined: 20.09.2008

Good fold...


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TykoFT
Joined: 07.04.2015

Very wet flop -> bet bigger OTF. I would go even for pot-sized. Shove turn. River is marginal... I would have probably called, but I am sure that the most you can get is split.


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