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[Closed] Nut Flush vs. All-in

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Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

saw flop|saw showdown

Hero ($9.55)
Button ($10.15)
SB ($7.30)
BB ($2.01)
UTG ($9.50)
UTG+1 ($66.15)
MP1 ($7.85) (20.6; 4.2; 0.7) winning player over 500 hands
MP2 ($11.11)
MP3 ($14.65)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9♣, A♣. SB posts a blind of $0.05.
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.5, 3 folds, MP1 calls $0.40.

Flop: ($1.15) 2♣, J♣, 2♥ (2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets $0.6, MP1 calls $0.60.

Turn: ($2.35) T♦ (2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero checks.

River: ($2.35) 7♣ (2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets $2, MP1 is all-in $6.75

Hero?


6 replies
UBPlayer
Joined: 15.01.2005

easy call


eplc
Joined: 22.01.2005

Original von UBPlayer
easy call

#2
The board doesn't even pair on the river, you could just lose against a runner runner or slowplayed fh.


nikonyo
Joined: 22.01.2005

I just call that preflop

the continuation bet should be bigger, 2/3 pot at least because you want other flushdraws to make wrong calls :)

as played easy call on the river, I put him on a flushdraw, AJ,KJ maybe QJ or 2x, if he had 72 or T2 and called your preflop raise you have a new buddy :)


AJ and KJ might be possible up to the river, but why would he raise me all-in when I make it pretty clear that I have the flush?

Well, he was in fact holding JJ and I lost to his full house ;-)


eplc
Joined: 22.01.2005

Original von FlipJi
AJ and KJ might be possible up to the river, but why would he raise me all-in when I make it pretty clear that I have the flush?

Well, he was in fact holding JJ and I lost to his full house ;-)

Maybe just bad slowplay, flush K high, two pair, etc.

Since this wasn't my money I'm proud of my read putting him on a slowlplayed fh . Still it's really an easy call.


Even after seeing the results, I call this. Calling $4.75 for $11.10, gives you ~2:1.

As far as his range, you're ahead of his K-xs or Qx-s (15 possible hands), as well as any overpair he might have incorrectly slowplayed (AA-QQ) (16 hands), and beat only by pocket jacks or pocket tens(12 hands). I don't think a winning TAG would still be holding pocket 7s or 2s after your PFR. Since we are doubting that our opponent is bluffing, we'll discount that for now; you win the hand 31/43 times, giving you 1:~1.4 to win the hand, enough to make this +EV over the long run.

Someone proof read the numbers there, I won't guarantee those ;P