[Closed] T8s NL100 SH

I take that line as a purebluff if I think he will fold.

but when I hit TP I checkbehind turn.

standard: fold preflop

as played I probably bet flop. Turn or river you could check behind, I think it's too thin without real history to bet 3 times.

Best regards,
TribunCaesar

advanced play imo.

preflop ... well, nl 100, if he is standard tagfish .... for 100bb, fold might be better. but calling 3bets ip with postflop edge is usually +EV (we need at least 100bb though).

however, postflop is interesting:

we can safely exclude JJ+ i guess, probably also AT after he checks all streets.

hands we lose to => we are afraid of T9 and JT. since i assume he 3bets just JTs and T9s and not TJo, T9o, QT and KT
=> which are 8 hand combos. (if we give him 50% KTs its 10 hand combos alltogether)

hands we beat => AQ, AK, AQs, AKs 88, 99 that he might play the same.
=> 12+12+4+4+6+6 = 44 hand combos

since our range is extremely narrow (usually we dont have JJ+ in bu vs sb, cuz we 4bet most likely) and we rep TT, AT, A3s he can easily call us down with AK, AQ, 88, 99.

i would say this should be clearly +EV given hand combos we beat and call us down.
however, nl100 regs might tell me villain shows up with AT, JJ here often, then it might get -EV. but i rly doubt it.

also, i would not 3barrell bluff here on this board. if i bluff, i check back flop, bet turn and shove river. but thats another story ....

after thinking long time he called down with 99. ship the moniez.
thanks TwiceT for explaining me what i did, i had no clue, but it just felt right. ♦