Originally posted by Dragar
Originally posted by shortfuse
Originally posted by PocketAcesJohn
Originally posted by shortfuse
Originally posted by PocketAcesJohn
At best AK all in is only 48% so you're not even a favourite. if your against a Pocket pair. against a hand like Q-10 you'll only be like a 55/60% favourite. and a sarmple size of 12 is way to small. Flip a coin 12 times and tell me how many times it comes up heads...i bet you its not 6! It'll more likley be either 3or4ish OR 8or9ish. And theres a 50% chance of each flip been heads...poker works the same.
Its called varriance. Thats all it is... we go through spells where no one can touch us. We also go through spells where we get completley owned. It's the nature of the game. The only reasson people losse in the long run is because of bad play. How about playing 50,000 hands at one limit? Then you can make a conclusion. If your lossing after 50,000 hands its not because of the pokersite nor is it likley to be varriance....
FUCKING LMAO THIS THREAD IS FULL OF SHIT
Deffine how its full of shit? You dumb knowledges moron...
''more likley be either 3or4ish OR 8or9ish''
ROFL
I say no more...
ps. lets have a bet, you choose a number, i'll choose 6. every time i win u gimme $1 and i lose il give you $1. deal? shall we run a sim huh dumb knowledge boy?
next time check your stats before dishing out crappy knowledge.
pps. heres a link for you to read over in your spare time. i suggest soon. http://www.fourmilab.ch/rpkp/experiments/statistics.html
you can shush now.
ppps. no need to thank me for my time spent on you.
Man your lack of knowledge and misunderstanding of variance and statistics is damn amazing.....
Why do you want to show yourself like this?
Seriously give it a break... your making a huge fool out of yourself. You understood one part of statistics and completely fail to understand the other part which pocketaces pointed out.
You saying this as a Poker player is even more of an insult... seriously educate yourself a bit alright?
Or let me try to hammer it in:
In order for statistics to work you need a damn huge sample size and those entire simulations are based on million++ flips. If you have 12 flips you will almost never win 6 and lose 6. It is exactly liketaces said. You will either win the majority or lose the majority of them and that is statistically more likely to happen then you exactly winning 6 and loosing 6.
I can wager you on this right now. We run the simulation 10 times, 12 flips each. Every time you win and its exactly 6/6 I pay you. Every time you lose you pay me. I like my chances!
There I hope you understood the second half of statistics which is called variation, you know that stuff you learn in math.... how much actual data varies from the statistics, something which happens every day in poker.
ppps. no need to thank me for my time spent on you.
i think you should read what i put before you start an argument. at no point did i say what you think i said. i said pick ONE number. NOT ALL numbers other than 6. i am backing that 6 is the most probable result. hence i win. you lose.
pocketacesjohn said that 3 or 4/12 is a more likely result than 6/12.
i can tell you that the % of exactly 3/12 in this experiment is 0.0537 (3sf)
4/12 comes up 0.120 (3sf). HOWEVER, 6/12 comes up 0.226 (3sf)
0.226 > 0.0537 + 0.120
Q.E.D pocketacesjohn is fucking wrong. no surprise im right. 6/12 is a more likely result than both 3/12 and 4/12 together!
you guys seem to be reverse bias, you give less optimism for EV results so infact your logic is skewed. though i don't blame you, none of you seem to want to educate yourself and do your own reserach, all leeching off each others crappy mindset.
i don't think you even gave enough time to read my link. clearly you didn't as you seem so lazy. next time, try understanding someone's argument too, it will save you a lot of hassle and embarrassment even with the anonymity of the internet.
and pocketacesjohn
''
What i ment was there is a 50% chance of it been heads or tails. If your only going to flip it a few times the results/outcome is likley to be more extreme. However fliping it a million times will bring an out come more true the 50/50. Small sarmples arnt reliable...big ones are. Maybe you should google "statistical varriation"?''
this is not what you said the original post, it is completely irrelevant. you are trying to conver your mistake with a new post about someshit everyone already knows and when some noob like dragar reads it and gets a huge erection thinking hes smart for knowing that shit he goes ahead and backs you without even reading your first crappy post.
''What you saying is just like saying "If i spin a roulette wheel 37 times it will land on each number once"...It just doesnt work like that!''
no this anology is clearly irrelevant, as is your existence. please reread and this time LEARN what i write.
if you guys continue to be fucking idiots im sorry i cannot help you anymore. there is only so much frustration one can deal with. i can't spending so much time on people who are so blunt.
