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[Closed] NL 25, 6-max, /cc QQ BU, wet F

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Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Known players:
[tg]MP3$23.94:///////;CO$27.13:///////;BU (Hero)$25.00:///////;SB$26.61:///////;BB$36.85:///////;MP2$25.00:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is BU with Q:d, Q:c.
MP2 raises to $1.00, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.00, 2 folds.

Flop: ($2.35) 5:h, J:h, 9:d (2 players)
MP2 bets $1.50, Hero raises to $5.00, MP2 raises to $17.00, Hero ?

Villain's stats:
Hands: 297
VPIP: 22 (EP - 12)
PFR: 17
CBET: 92
Agr: 7.3
WTSD: 13%
W$SD: 80%

I very rarely call QQ here. (But at these stakes no real need to do this).

I thought, it was very close to 50/50 here.
After equations I find myself here:

Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 41.984 % 40.831 % 2.308 % 56.862 % QdQc
Player 2: 58.016 % 56.862 % 2.308 % 40.831 % 99+, 55, AhKh, AhQh, AhTh, KhQh, KhTh, QhTh, JhTh, AJo

What would you do? Play for stacks or not? My equations OK?

EDIT:
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 34.154 % 34.103 % 0.102 % 65.795 % QdQc
Player 2: 65.846 % 65.795 % 0.102 % 34.103 % KK+, JJ, 99, 55, AhKh, AhQh, AhTh, KhQh, KhTh, QhTh, JhTh, AJo

I forgot to remove TT and QQ. Here is only 34 % equity for QQ.


2 replies
nttflox
Joined: 25.10.2007

I don't think I could ever fold an over pair on a drawy board against someone with 7.3 AF. I would just ship it.


since you slowplayed your hand pf and then raised on drawy board, then he can easily shove there any Jx hand for value
So once you raise I would prefer shoving