[Closed] nl200hu against thinking reg

Ugly spot, but he has to be bluffing like 40% of the time for you just to break even and there is no reason to think that he is doing it that frequently, so fold > call.

but my hand is pretty face up as low pocket, ace high or a weak king. he can't ever expect to get payed off from those hands

Since it's early in the match your hand isn't as face up as it may seem to you, ace hi/low pocket pair is unlikely to call a standard sized bet anyway and unless he already obtained a good read that you are always c/r'ing w trips in his eyes you should be as likely to hold Tx as Kx. Also he can't be too optimistic about you folding Kx early anyway.

by fairly early i mean about 40 hands in on two tables (so 80 hands), and he knows for sure i'd raise a ten on the flop at this point.

Meh, if you really think that he's aware of all that then call why not, in worst case scenario you lose the pot but get an image of a calling station so he's prob gonna give you lots of action and play a bit more "honest" poker.

I am calling, his range is superpolarized. Tx, 33 or a bluff.

i called he had 5c6c

I think it's a call because his valuerange is so small that missed draws or random whatever should make out enough of bluffs to have a profitable call, even more so because all tens can't feel supercomfortable shoving for value

sry bit late but replied before I saw the other replies

fold flop, fold river

Originally posted by DiegoFueng
fold flop, fold river

please explain how on earth you get to a flop fold

i might fold flop if this was fr.

preflop : in early part of the match I like to 3-bet a siuted Kx -> to force this guy to respond in some way. Laaarge % of weak-semi good regs @ NL200 are responding in bad way to uber-agression.

Flop and turn is ok.

The river looks nasty but :
-if he is holding trips / flush / AA (?) he is betting here sth like 45-60 ( especially in early part of the match ) to get a call beacouse he knows that our range is weak in this situation
-straight ? hmm hard but propably the same -> bet 45-60

he is polarized to bluff / FH -> call looks fine there