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[Closed] What are the odds?

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cvora
Joined: 01.02.2009

What are the odds to loose every coin flip in 5 day period ( about 80 that i was all in pre flop) , then every flush draw with 2 overs vs underpair, and OESD with pair vs overpair????? Also to loose vs every gutshot str8 draw against you and every flush draw???? If someone expirienced something familiar please share. Ty.


20 replies
wuttehhell
Joined: 27.03.2010

odds are very small.
do you feel better now?


cvora
Joined: 01.02.2009

NO , cause it continues :-)


jbpatzer
Joined: 23.11.2009

(0.5)^80 is about 10^(-24). That's about a 0.0000000000000000000001% chance.

Either

i) Online poker is rigged against you.
ii) You're a little liar.
iii) You have a selective memory.

I know which one my money's on.


cvora
Joined: 01.02.2009

at this moment, i lost QQ vs J10 all in preflop, AQK34 on board (not to mention imbecile paid 25BB), KK vs AQ, AQ10 66 board. Who dont belive let find jzma on Full Tilt and watch . I have no reason to lie, just first time in my carier i facing such kind of loosing streak.


jbpatzer
Joined: 23.11.2009

That rules out option (ii) Must be (i) or (iii) then.


cvora
Joined: 01.02.2009

I dont undesrtand such kind of sarcasm!?! I asked if someone experienced such kind of loosing streak, not some "smart" guy to treat his frustration. I bet You are the guy who paid JTo 25BB preflop all in


cvora
Joined: 01.02.2009

....and i was right....You are such afwul player, on all platforms very negative ROI.....ty for your help, but no Thank You.


jbpatzer
Joined: 23.11.2009
ihufa
Joined: 18.03.2008

fifty fifty, how are you not getting this


jbpatzer
Joined: 23.11.2009

My well known inability to play poker does not disqualify me from multiplying 0.5 by itself 80 times, thereby answering your question. I suspect that the chances of us being hit by an asteroid next Tuesday are higher than the chances of you losing 80 consecutive coin flips.


MrMardyBum
Joined: 14.03.2009

Do you think my WW2 bomb shelter will protect me? ?(


jbpatzer
Joined: 23.11.2009

Originally posted by MrMardyBum
Do you think my WW2 bomb shelter will protect me? ?(

There's a small chance. :f_biggrin:


Originally posted by cvora
What are the odds to loose every coin flip in 5 day period ( about 80 that i was all in pre flop) , then every flush draw with 2 overs vs underpair, and OESD with pair vs overpair????? Also to loose vs every gutshot str8 draw against you and every flush draw???? If someone expirienced something familiar please share. Ty.

you are not the only one...

firist 15 days i play like nuts and all was ok,and for example...

%win
AA
KK
QQ
JJ
AK
AQ
15days period-->94--89--86---83--81---80 (tourney sng-->about 90k hand)
last 4 days-->63--29--65--85--21--13 (tourney sng-->about 20k hand)

lost more than 1/2 bankroll....most becasue of bad bad + some tilt shove any2 mode while 1 tabling _cry:

if that dont stop today i will never play poker in my life again for sure


or picture...


stevegold87
Joined: 18.06.2009

that is one ugly graph poor you :( you had the taste of sucess


cvora
Joined: 01.02.2009

Yep thats it, my graph looks similiar, not that bad.....:-)

And i keep going down 6 flush draws in a row vs me ( 2 top sets, 4 times top or overpair) every time hit, then most of big pairs crushed by A rag or smaller pair....etc......1000$ down and counting


It's just variance. If you can't stand it, perhaps poker is not for you. Jbpatzer actually has a very good point there, I don't see a reason why you should be offended by it. He also answered your question nicely.


jbpatzer
Joined: 23.11.2009

Originally posted by Primzi
Jbpatzer actually has a very good point there, I don't see a reason why you should be offended by it. He also answered your question nicely.

:f_love:


sabo999
Joined: 11.06.2008

When i was 7 years old... I lost 220 consecutive flips VS Front Lawn ... But, Eventually i Mastered the Flip... And Now I Win EVERY Time..