Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
SB ($105)
Hero ($61.40)
UTG ($40.25)
UTG+1 ($51.10)
CO ($113)
BTN ($56.20)
Dealt to Hero 7♣ T♣
fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1
FLOP ($3) J♠ 8♠ 9♣
SB bets $2.50, Hero raises to $7.50, SB calls $5
TURN ($18) J♠ 8♠ 9♣ J♥
SB checks, Hero bets $12, SB raises to $86.75, Hero calls $40.40 (AI)
RIVER ($122) J♠ 8♠ 9♣ J♥ K♦
villain is 23/18/1, 96 hands
I think we have to raise flop since it's very drawy - probably I should raise a lot more - but 3x opponents bet is what I would raise with my bluffs too so it's difficult to make it a lot more.
I'm not sure about my turn call. I think it really depends on whether villain is ever check/shoving AJ/KJ. Against {AJ,88,99} we have 44%, needing only 33% for a breakeven call so that's fine. If he's only shoving sets here, it's an insta fold.
I don't think he ever has bare overpairs (QQ+) here since he should be frightened of me having a Jx type hand.
any other thoughts?
Thanks