Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($100)
BB ($47)
UTG ($152)
UTG+1 ($175)
CO ($378)
Hero ($129)
Dealt to Hero 6♦ 7♣
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $3, fold, BB calls $2
FLOP ($6.50) 7♦ 2♣ 3♣
BB checks, Hero bets $4, BB calls $4
TURN ($14.50) 7♦ 2♣ 3♣ 8♠
BB checks, Hero checks
RIVER ($14.50) 7♦ 2♣ 3♣ 8♠ 3♥
BB bets $8, Hero calls $8
villain unknown, no hands. 50 BB
flop continuation bet looks good for value and protection. In my opinion turn is classic way ahead way behind situation and we should check behind since the only worse hand we can expect to get called by is a flush draw or 45. I think if we bet, we would have to bet/fold.
The plan with this line is to get to showdown and call bet on the River depending on size. When we check behind on the turn we are signalling to the average villain that we have a weak hand and we invite him to bluff at the pot.
Some proportion of the time, when we call on the River we are behind. however, as long as we don't call a bigger bet than we would have made on the turn (in general), this line is not worse than bet/folding the turn.
when we check behind the turn, we also enable villain to make his draws some time and we have to offset this disadvantage with the fact that when we bet/fold the turn we never allow villain the opportunity to bluff at the pot.
Thoughts about this line in general and in this hand in particular?
Thanks