I've just read the silver strategy article called "Mathematics: Odds & Outs for Advanced Players", and it was a milestone on my short poker career - suddenly everything makes more sense! Of course, i'm still prone to many mistakes, and i suppose this hand is one of the examples. I apologize in advance for posting the results, but i guess it will not influence much the resulting evaluation.
Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;SB$2,55:136/19/6/3.0/38/13/33/33;Hero$4,64:///////;[/tg]
0,1/0,2 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.90 by www.pokerstrategy.com.
Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A♥, A♦
3 folds, Hero raises, 2 folds, SB calls, BB folds.
Flop: (5,00 SB) K♥, J♠, 8♥ (2 players)
SB bets, Hero raises, SB 3-bets, Hero calls.
The 3-bet on the flop is likely enough to let me know i'm behind. I've got 4 outs (Aces and Nut Backdoor Flush), not enough to make the call. Should i fold immediately? Are there any implied odds i'm missing?
Turn: (5,50 BB) 4♥ (2 players)
SB bets, Hero calls.
Things change a little bit. I'm probably facing two pair or trips, and now the flush draw is real. I've got 11 outs, about 3,2:1 odds. Calling this one is easy.
River: (7,50 BB) 6♣ (2 players)
SB bets, Hero calls.
None of my outs came out. Is it correct to call anyway? Or i should have folded my AA on the river, heads up, without seeing what the opponent had?
Final Pot: 9,50 BB
Results follow (highlight to see):
Hero shows (Ah Ad)
SB shows three-of-a-kind, jacks (Jd Jc)
SB wins with three-of-a-kind, jacks (Jd Jc)