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[Closed] MSS Donk

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BAMLara
Joined: 18.09.2007

iPoker - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 10 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

MP: $4.09
MP+1: $3.00
Hero (MP+2): $3.31
LP: $9.54
CO: $5.19
BTN: $5.00
SB: $11.72
BB: $4.00
UTG: $3.16
UTG+1: $5.68

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10, MP+1 posts DB $0.10

Pre Flop: ($0.25) Hero has J♥ A♦

fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, fold, MP+1 checks, Hero raises to $0.50, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.45, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($1.30, 2 players) 8♥ 6♦ J♦
SB bets $0.50, Hero raises to $2.81, SB calls $2.31

Turn: ($6.92, 2 players) 4♠

River: ($6.92, 2 players) 6♣

Villan VPIP 13 PFR% 8 AF 3 WTSD 22 Hands 428 3Bet preflop 0.8

Is it OK to go broke on this flop? (I didn't look for his Donkbet% when i went allin)

Regards,

BAM


3 replies
Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

Hi,

What do you think his range is for donking this flop? He plays 13/8 so that is pretty tight


BAMLara
Joined: 18.09.2007

Hi, Gerv
I was hoping to see KJ, AJ, two :diamond: s, maybe JJ or QQ since he only 3bets KK+. I looked in to his stats and his donk flop % is 40 (10/25), i think that's high but i have no idea what range of dbet we're looking for ?(.

Regards,

BAM


Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

Well I think he mostly c/R nutted hands so his range is like:

  • Toppairs
  • Flushdraws
  • weird overpairs/2pairs

    Hence:


    Board: J♦6♦8♥
           Equity     Win     Tie
    MP2    50.20%  49.97%   0.23% { QQ+, KJs, QJs, JTs, 86s, KdQd, KdTd, 9d7d, KJo }
    MP3    49.80%  49.57%   0.23% { AdJh }

So I think it is OK to shove the Flop because he might fold the toppairs you have beat on the Turn if the turn completes he FD for example. Removing QQ+ gives you more equity obvious :)

Best regards,
Gerv


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