Originally posted by fryandspicy
Also aleback is correct the expected % of times that you lose a particular hand does not grow the more hands you play. It stays the same. Only the number of hands you lose grows. This is obviously correct to anyone with common sense
I didn't express myself correctly,but if a bad beat hypothetically occurs 1 in each 100 hands,doesn't that mean that if you play 2000 hands you will get 20 bad beats?
The percentage is 0.01% everytime,my mistake,you're right,but you will suffer from more bad beats in a shorter period of time online,than live,thus giving the impression of the odds and the whole universe conspiring against you?
Regardless,bad beats will occur more frequently,as in quantity not percentage. Did i get it right this time?
And not to mention that AK vs J7,villain wins,isn't a bad beat,he is going to win that 33/100 times.Even AA vs J7,he will win 14/100 times.A bad beat is a statistical improbability,like quads over quads,or quads vs straight flushes.
You can't really say you got a bad beat pre-flop.He is dominated,but he is still going to win here and there.On the long run,you take him down.