[Closed] [SH] NL50, 44 set on monoflop

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Last Post by veriz 15 years ago

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TetraQuark

Joined: 21.05.2008

Posts: 1,521

11.06.2011, 13:10 0

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Known players:
[tg]CO$50.00:///////;BU$20.00:///////;SB (Hero)$82.40:///////;BB$52.75:///////;MP2$50.50:///////;MP3$60.25:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is SB with 4:c, 4:h.
MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $2.00, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.75, BB folds.

Flop: ($4.5) 3:d, 4:d, 9:d (2 players)
Hero bets $3.50, MP3 calls $3.50.

Turn: ($11.5) T:h (2 players)
Hero bets $8.50, MP3 raises to $24.00, Hero raises to $76.90, MP3 calls $30.75(All-In).

River: ($143.15) 4:s (2 players)

Final Pot: $143.15.

Hi!

Villain is 24/18, AF 1.1, 100 hands.

Can we get away from this hand?

2 replies

N0pr3s3n7

Joined: 14.05.2009

Posts: 417

11.06.2011, 23:50 0

nice river , bet/fold turn he is never bluffing and u got 20 % equity to complete full house.

although because you are deep i think we can find the equity if we call,and shove river if we complete and fold if we don't imrpove.

qwewqe :f_biggrin::f_biggrin::f_biggrin:

veriz

Joined: 20.07.2008

Posts: 64,009

12.06.2011, 11:31 0

Hello Gregor86,

We need like 39% equity here and lets say against some wider range which will include all the sets which beat us, flushes which beat us and may easily have as well some overpair+FD type of hand:

Board: 3♦4♦9♦ T♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
UTG    59.60%  59.60%   0.00% { TT-99, 33, AdAc, KdKh, QdQs, JdJc, AdKd, AdQd, KdQd, AdJd, JdTd }
UTG+1  40.40%  40.40%   0.00% { 4h4c }

So therefore I guess I would as well just ship it on turn. Other option would be of course to just fold the hand and avoid the variance broke spot. We ain't that deep either that we should be so scared of going broke.

Best regards.