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[Closed] $1 turbo ring: AQo CO call vs MP2 shove 7bb

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mktpppr
Joined: 18.07.2010

hi,
is this call correct? very difficult call in game for me because villain's range is heavily weighted to 66+ in this spot, villain is a fish so he's never close to nash

nash (PU) 20.1%, 22+ A2s+ ATo+ K8s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s
nash (CA) 7.1%, 88+ ATs+ AJo+

http://www.holdemresources.net/hr/sngs/icmcalculator.html?action=calculate&bb=200&sb=100&ante=0&structure=0.5%2C0.3%2C0.2&s1=1060&s2=1380&s3=2310&s4=1670&s5=1455&s6=1695&s7=2285&s8=1645&s9=

MP2 33 hands 15/9
Wiz open% 9

BU (MTing) 226 hands 17/15
Wiz call% 5.1 overcall% 1.7

SB 33 hands 21/3
Wiz call% 7.5 overcall% 3

BB (MTing) 153 hands 24/7
Wiz call% 7.5 overcall% 3

Hero: Wiz fold 3.5% TT+,AK

Fold: 1455 chips, 0.1104, SD: $15.43
Win: 3210 chips, 0.2172
Lose: 0 chips, 0
Tie: 1605 chips, 0.1204

Equity needed: 50.83%
Chip odds: 45.33%
Risk premium: 5.5%
Chips gained by marginal call: 176.5.
Ties count as 55.45% of a win.
SD of marginal call: $15.9.

giving villain a ~9% range
Equity Win Tie
MP2 52.98% 47.19% 5.79% 66+, ATs+, ATo+
CO 47.02% 41.24% 5.79% AsQd

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, 1.2 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds (8 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB (t1645)
UTG (t1060)
UTG+1 (t1380)
MP1 (t2310)
MP2 (t1670)
Hero (CO) (t1455)
Button (t1695)
SB (t2285)

Hero's M: 4.85

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, Q
3 folds, MP2 bets t1670 (All-In), Hero calls t1455 (All-In), 3 folds

Flop: (t3210) 4, 6, A (2 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: (t3210) 8 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: (t3210) 8 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: t3210


3 replies
stevegold87
Joined: 18.06.2009

Close fold or call. I think I call here because we dont have enough of a sample to say if villain is tight and you said he was rather fishy. He would def not play QQ+ that way imo.


Turbulentus
Joined: 10.11.2008

Easy call for me.


Y0d4
Joined: 03.05.2006

I'd call, too - I do think that even a fish pushes quite a lot of Ax hands in his spot and might also have some Qx Combos, so AQ should do quite well.