hi,
is this call correct? very difficult call in game for me because villain's range is heavily weighted to 66+ in this spot, villain is a fish so he's never close to nash
nash (PU) 20.1%, 22+ A2s+ ATo+ K8s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s
nash (CA) 7.1%, 88+ ATs+ AJo+
MP2 33 hands 15/9
Wiz open% 9
BU (MTing) 226 hands 17/15
Wiz call% 5.1 overcall% 1.7
SB 33 hands 21/3
Wiz call% 7.5 overcall% 3
BB (MTing) 153 hands 24/7
Wiz call% 7.5 overcall% 3
Hero: Wiz fold 3.5% TT+,AK
Fold: 1455 chips, 0.1104, SD: $15.43
Win: 3210 chips, 0.2172
Lose: 0 chips, 0
Tie: 1605 chips, 0.1204
Equity needed: 50.83%
Chip odds: 45.33%
Risk premium: 5.5%
Chips gained by marginal call: 176.5.
Ties count as 55.45% of a win.
SD of marginal call: $15.9.
giving villain a ~9% range
Equity Win Tie
MP2 52.98% 47.19% 5.79% 66+, ATs+, ATo+
CO 47.02% 41.24% 5.79% AsQd
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, 1.2 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds (8 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB (t1645)
UTG (t1060)
UTG+1 (t1380)
MP1 (t2310)
MP2 (t1670)
Hero (CO) (t1455)
Button (t1695)
SB (t2285)
Hero's M: 4.85
Preflop: Hero is CO with A
, Q
3 folds, MP2 bets t1670 (All-In), Hero calls t1455 (All-In), 3 folds
Flop: (t3210) 4
, 6
, A
(2 players, 2 all-in)
Turn: (t3210) 8
(2 players, 2 all-in)
River: (t3210) 8
(2 players, 2 all-in)
Total pot: t3210