Originally posted by c0wking
Originally posted by bennisboy
But you have spent the whole thread (and yes I read it all) complaining about how you can't win because people play bad poker. You want to play against those players because if you just learn how to play poker and capitalise on their weakness, then it is easy money.
And if you didn't fail reading so badly, you'd understand that's exactly what I AM doing. You don't think it's exploiting their weaknesses when I get them to put their entire stack in when I have 70-90%+ edge?
You don't even understand what you're talking about...
Originally posted by bennisboy
You moan about how you get your 80% cracked 40-45% of the time? lol
You moan about losing coinflips (45-55 is considered to be a coinflip if you watch poker or read articles on it)
Your JJ or QQ has the same chance of beating AK as you would have if you'd shipped against AK with 22. Shipping with JJ is almost always going to be a coinflip at best
No shit sherlock (it's a coinflip!), but again, you failed reading comprehension. It's 0.4% chance to lose all 4 in a row, but I'm not surprised you don't know about basic mathematics. That's like rolling a 200 sided dice once, and hitting 101.
It's a coinflip! My new slogan when I lose with 90% edge 3x in a row.
Haha no I know nothing about maths, except for getting straight As in my A-levels at school (In Physics, Maths and Economics) and then doing Economics at university, which is basically all advanced maths (Calculus, probabilities and statistical interpretation) and working at an investment bank in futures and options.... yeah I know nothing about probabilities or maths in general....
Do you know what variance is? Do you know how probabilities work?
That 0.4% chance doesn't mean it can't happen, it in fact means it will happen in the long-run. Probabilities are a long-run average, meaning that over an infinite sample-size, that result will occur in 0.4% of the outcomes, so it will happen. There is a link that has been posted on this site many times about probability, and how people struggle to grasp it's rather variance high short-term outcomes.
Have you seen the Derren Brown clip where he flips a coin ten times in a row and gets heads every time, despite the actual probability of each flip being 50/50? You know how he did it? By filming himself flipping a coin ten times in a row, over and over again until it eventually happened, because by the law of probabilities it will.
You should be happy that you get it in with a strong edge, because in the long-run, that is where you make money. Yeah I understand how frustrating it is when you lose in those circumstances, but you need to realise that you got it in well, and be focused on that, not the actual outcome.
Also the hands you show in this thread... how do you expect to learn and improve by posting your bad beat stories? You should be posting hands where you struggled to make the right decision, where you made a bad call for a certain reason, or where you didn't extract maximum value, and be asking for feedback on those so that you can evaluate similar situations better in future.
The feedback you would get for posting those hands where people can actually evaluate your play and give opinions on what they would have done in the situation would help you much more than people going "bad-beat, so what?"
