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NL 200 67s

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Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Pacific
SB ($222)
BB ($261)
Hero ($257)
UTG+1 ($252)
CO ($230)
BTN ($200)

Dealt to Hero 7♣ 6♣

Hero raises to $6, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $4

FLOP ($13) 5♣ A♠ 3♣

BB checks, Hero bets $8, BB calls $8

TURN ($29) 5♣ A♠ 3♣ A♥

BB checks, Hero checks

RIVER ($29) 5♣ A♠ 3♣ A♥ 2♣

BB bets $29, Hero raises to $75, BB raises to $247 (AI), Hero calls $168 (AI)

BB wins $511

Villain is 66/24, I've been pounding on him for the last 40 hands.
Fold to cbet is 56%, wtsd 26%. He did not seem tilted and I doubt river bet is a bluff.

I was also fairly aggressive postflop. He probably thinks i'm capable of bluff raising river.


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7 replies
noisecore
Joined: 13.04.2010

Openraising 76s UTG doesn't seem very profitable to me :)

as played bet flop bigger and bet the turn.


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getdotacom
Joined: 06.04.2008

I'd play same way F&T. He's not folding that turn because of his high fold 2 cbet. On the river it's raise/fold IMO. He's not bluffing, he has a pair or something better and he's not turning it into a bluff. U could consider calling, that pot bet looks very strong to me.


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Wp pre/F/T. on river I'm never considering calling, I actually make it like 87$ but snapmucking to a ship


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see below


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My original plan was to raise/fold too. After some tanking I decided that the odds are too good if he does that with Ax or just spazzing out because he doesn't win anything from me ... tho I'm really not sure.
One thing I should mention is that I was quite sure that he doesn't have any 2pair combos, maybe occasionaly sets but probably raises them on flop too so that eliminates some FH combos from his range.


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

never raise/call without a better read. When he pots, just calling is valid option as well.


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Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I'd call the river.
Even though we just hit the flush, given the way the hand played out and his range for calling preflop, I think he pretty much always has a better flush here.
Ax would usually not bet that big IMO.


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