I played this really badly on reflection, will try to explain my thought processes as we go, any feedback / criticism appreciated. With my reads I think fold or 4 bet was the right play but as I often do, I called to assess flop, doh!
I dont use HEM whilst playing, only to review hands but my read on villain was that he was pretty tight, I had been at same table with him for some time and had not seen him showdown a hand, mostly getting folds to his open raise, or 3 bet.
After checking HEM villain stats were:
HANDS 379 VPIP13% PFR 11% 3BET 7% FOLD TO 4BET 100% (1)
No Limit Holdem Tournament
PartyPoker
7 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
only1rhino (UTG) (61k)
UTG+1 (49k)
MP (91k)
CO (51k)
BTN (98k)
SB (336k)
BB (34k)
Blinds: 1k/2k Ante 200
Pre-Flop: (4.4k, 7 players) only1rhino is UTG Q♥ A♣
only1rhino raises to 4k, 1 fold, MP raises to 9.1k, 4 folds, only1rhino calls 5.1k
OK I know calling is crap but figured this guy as tight and kinda hoping to outplay him post flop.
Flop: K♠ 5♠ 10:club: (23k, 2 players)
only1rhino checks, MP bets 7.0k, only1rhino calls 7.0k
I float this, not really for the gutshot but with the idea of taking it off him on the river if he checks back on the turn
Turn: 10:diamond: (37k, 2 players)
only1rhino checks, MP checks
With the paired board I was thinking of check raising this but he checked behind so back to previous plan of trying to take it on river
River: 2♥ (37k, 2 players)
only1rhino bets 18k, MP calls 18k
Think my river bet is probably too small but I think this guy read me like a book and is calling even pot size bet here
Final Pot: 73k
only1rhino shows
Q♥ A♣
MP shows
8♥ 5♦
MP wins 73k (net +39k)
only1rhino lost 35k
I was really shocked by his holding here, not at all shocked by the call, he obviously had me pegged, but how often is villain 3 betting me from MP with them kind of stats.
Any thoughts on better way to play this - obviously any way other than this is better lol